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Concerning One and a Half Year Trades

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I love the multi-year acquisition because it solves current and future problems in a single stroke; it removes the anxiety of the offseason dance, and lessens the buyer's remorse on a trade.  Recently, Cashman has brought in Arod, Abreu, Swisher, and Nady this way (I don't count Randy Johnson because he was a trade and extension).

So using Cot's Potential Free Agent Lists, let's think about who might be available.  I'm not trying to guess at costs, because obviously a 1.5 year pitcher will cost more than the .5 year pitcher.  But compare the starters and ask yourself if the higher cost doesn't seem justified.

Bronson Arroyo- wouldn't touch him with a ten foot pole.

David Bush- he seems to alternate great years with bad years.  This is a bad year, and a 21.2% line drive rate screams stay away.  He hit the DL with a triceps injury last Friday, so he'd be a waiver move anyway.

Roy Halladay- too pricey for the deadline; expect the dance to continue in the offseason

Cliff Lee- at first I thought the Indians were asking too much, but it looks like either the Angels, Dodgers, or Phillies would take him as a Halladay alternative.  I suspect the Dodgers are really just in it to drive up the price on the Phils.

Tim Redding- his .330 BABIP against a 16.8% Line Drive Rate says bad luck (we'd expect a .288 BABIP, a huge swing).  On the other hand, his 89 mph fastball and 4BB/9 says bad at baseball.  I suppose I'd take a chance and offer an arm that couldn't (shouldn't) be in the Show next year.

Ian Snell (option for 2012)- 4.9 BB/9. LD% over 20 in 5 of 6 seasons.  Man, he was good in 2007 though.  Pass.

Am I the only one with a lump in his throat?

Prediction: The Yankees need to make a trade before the minor leaguers get their chance to remind the world of the depth of the Yankees' farm system.  Unfortunately, I don't think the Yanks have options on the 40-man beyond Hughes and Aceves (who is nursing his own sore shoulder).

Ian Nova and George Kontos have both looked a little wild at AAA, but both are allowing under a hit per inning.  And there's always the Ghost of Kei Igawa.