CC Sabathia's given up 3 home runs in 2 starts, and he hasn't pitched at Yankee Stadium yet. His ERA sits at 7.50, while his fastball is averaging 89.7 and not fooling anyone. The Red Sox are starting 2 time champion Jon Lester, pitting his 2.50 ERA and his 94 mph fastball against a Yankee lineup that has plenty of holes.
Told from the other side of the story, Sabathia has had bad luck on the homerun ball (30% of all his flyballs have left the yard, compared to 13% in 2013 and 12.5% in 2012), and his defense hasn't helped him much either; his xFIP would set a career best (xFIP is a calculation of how well he does the things he can control, strike outs, walks, and assuming a league average home run rate because of how wildly HR rates fluctuate).
It's Yankees-Red Sox, anything can happen and usually does.
|NEW YORK YANKEES||BOSTON RED SOX|
|1. Derek Jeter (R) SS||1. Jonny Gomes (R) RF|
|2. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF||2. Dustin Pedroia (R) 2B|
|3. Carlos Beltran (S) RF||3. David Ortiz (L) DH|
|4. Alfonso Soriano (R) DH||4. Mike Napoli (R) 1B|
|5. Francisco Cervelli (R) C||5. Grady Sizemore (L) LF|
|6. Yangervis Solarte (S) 3B||6. Xander Bogaerts (R) SS|
|7. Ichiro Suzuki (L) LF||7. Ryan Roberts (R) 3B|
|8. Brian Roberts (S) 2B||8. David Ross (R) C|
|9. Kelly Johnson (L) 1B||9. Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) CF|