The news that John Sterling and Suzyn Waldman do not provide much hard-hitting #Analysis should not come as a shock to anyone. That being said, I had to listen to them a lot over the past week or so while driving, and most fans who have heard them broadcast during the past two seasons have heard them go on and on about how infielder Jayson Nix is "better than his batting average indicates."
While that statement is true for some players, it is simply not factual with Nix.
Nix's wRC+ is 63, which is somehow even lower than his career wRC+ of 72. It should not be surprising that everyone below Nix has either been released (Nelson/Francisco), injured (Nunez), or is just an injury replacement that was never expected to hit (Romine [but holy crap, -31?!]). Oh, and Ichiro. Two years, people.
But I hear from WCBS that season numbers don't tell the story on Nix, who "makes his hits count" and is "clutch." Well, those cliches are overused, but WPA (Win probability added) can at least give them evidence. How is Nix doing on WPA?
Nix is seventh on the team in positive WPA (min. 10 PA), so he has gotten a few hits here and there in important situations, but Sterling and Waldman apparently have a big ol' blind spot about the number of times that Nix has failed when presented with similar scenarios. He also leads the regulars in strikeout percentage at 29.6%, which is why the image of Nix flailing like a drunken blind lumberjack with runners on late in games is ingrained in our minds.
I know Derek Jeter probably isn't providing too much value when he comes back because he'll be even more defensively limited, but even if he's only 2010 Jeter at the plate (93 wRC+), it will be a giant step up from Nix. Come back soon, Cap.