I published a month by month target record for us to get to my target year of 102 wins and 60 losses. To get to this point I asked for an April record of 14 wins and 9 losses. This was based on winning 70% of our games with most teams, and 55% of our games with contenders. At the end of April we stand at 13 and nine. Because of the rain out in Boston we are short 1 game. To be right on target we need to win the makeup. But, I consider the performance in terms of wins and losses to be on target.
How did we get here? I projected us to win 102 calculated by pythag based on scoring 867 runs and allowing 645. 22 games is 13.5% of 162. So I’d guess we should have expected 118 runs scored and 88 runs allowed. What we got was 120 runs scored and 102 runs allowed.
A pythag calculation on our actual results comes out as a .573 winning percentage. For 22 games that’s 12.6 wins. Eh, we have 13 so maybe a little lucky.
The point of this is that, even with our pitching problems, the Yanks are about on target for our great year. April was a very tough schedule. Go Yanks, time to fatten up on the middle and bottom of the AL!