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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

What to Expect After A-Rod's Controversial Surgery

"Do it, Alex!"

In December, Alex Rodriguez flew to Germany* to receive platelet-rich plasma therapy on his right knee and left shoulder. Most of the evidence supporting the benefits of PRP is anecdotal though. One scientific study suggests there is little to no benefit of PRP compared to regular saline solution. But A-Rod apparently went on the advice of Kobe Bryant**, who had the therapy twice last year with the same German doctor. If we're going to believe it worked for Kobe, it would be natural to think there'd be an improvement in his stats. There isn't. He's averaging virtually the same number of points, rebounds, assists and steals (per 36 minutes). He is playing about five more minutes per game, but he's only played 27 games, so we have yet to see if he maintains that for another 55 contests (FYI, he played in all 82 games last year, so health wasn't much of an issue, making it tougher to claim PRP made him healthier).

Before A-Rod ever flew across the pond, the Yankees checked with MLB and WADA (World Anti-Doping Agency) on the permissibility of the therapy (after all, A-Rod's had illegal and semi-legal procedures in the past). They both OK'ed it and off he flew.

Star-divide

Unlike Bryant, A-Rod did have serious injury issues last season. He played in only 99 games (and hasn't reached 140 since 2007), had his worst season (via bWAR) since 1995(!) and has declined each of the last four seasons. If anyone needs this therapy to work - not only to keep him healthy but to improve his game - it's A-Rod.

Was he merely unlucky last year? The peripherals says no. His BABIP (.311) was right in line with his career average, but he had his second worst line drive rate (only worsted in 2010), highest ground ball rate and lowest fly ball rate since at least 2002 (since that's the furthest FanGraphs batted ball stats go back). The only years in which he had a lower IsoP (Isolated Power) were 1994 and '95, his first two years in MLB.

There is a little light at the end of the tunnel. He maintained career averages in BB and K rates, so he's at least seeing the ball fairly well, but it looks like, although his eyes still retain their sharpness, his body isn't responding as well as it used to. The pitch value numbers seem to back this up: A-Rod had trouble with fastballs in 2011 (as well as cutters, curves and changeups), having his worst season against that pitch since at least '02.

At this point, we just have to hope PRP therapy works, because the Yanks can't afford another declining year from A-Rod, especially with six left on his contract. If Kobe Bryant - or, you know, actual medical studies - are any indicator, don't get your hopes up.

* Because that's apparently where the world's best in this procedure is.

** Other PRP-treated athletes include Cliff Lee, Jose Reyes, Bartolo Colon, Ian Kinsler, Chris Canty and Tiger Woods.

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Here’s to hoping Lee had it after his 2007 season!

by MichaelGGBGrabow on Feb 14, 2012 9:13 AM EST reply actions  

For what it's worth about Kobe

The schedule this year is MUCH more condensed. Maybe the PRP has made him healthier if he has been able to increase his minutes in a season where there is much more basketball being played in fewer days. Just food for thought though

by MemphisMike on Feb 14, 2012 9:30 AM EST reply actions  

True...but couple things

First, it didn’t make Kobe WORSE. And while Kobe didn’t have any significant injuries in 2010-2011…he did have some nagging injuries. His ankle, his right knee, his right wrist. All was NOT hunkey dorey….the injuries just didn’t force him to miss time.
http://lakersblog.latimes.com/lakersblog/2011/12/kobe-bryant-opens-up-on-injuries.html

Second, on A-rods stats last year (and the year before): He’s been injured. Now, that, in itself, is a problem. He needs to improve his durability and stay healthy. But I think his stats are likely a reflection of THAT problem as much as (and maybe more so) than a decline in ability. I think that’s borne out in your statistic regarding getting to fast balls: When your knee is shot (or, prior to that, your hip)…you’re not going to be able to turn around on a fast ball. You’re either going to be late, or you’re going to have no power in your swing. That, to my eyes, is what’s going on.

Now, the fact those are similar symptoms to the dreaded “father time” disease leaves all this up to debate. But I’m not sure we can conclude it’s A-rod losing a step UNTIL we see him go a decent portion of the season being healthy AND see a continued back slide. If we never see that…that answers the question, itself.

by CalinCT on Feb 14, 2012 10:11 AM EST reply actions  

Yeah MemphisMike is right, but there's also a number of other factors at play.

It’s not fair to assume that the knee surgery would improve Kobe’s stats. Kobe is carrying the Lakers on his back like Greg Jennings – he’s forcing many shots and passes that he normally wouldn’t be doing because he knows that without his production, the Lakes won’t make the playoffs.

Look at Kobe’s jump shot. He’s got more lift on his shot than he did last year and he’s getting up and down the court better than last year too. He has a ton of minutes logged on those legs and the surgery seems to have made him feel more sprightly. Whether this is the result of a placebo effect or legitimate healing is of no consequence – if he feels better then that’s what matters.

Boone Logan is a good boy. So is David Robertson. Team A.J.

by goyanks69 on Feb 14, 2012 10:12 AM EST reply actions  

Tracy Magrady also had the same injury and his health overall has improved after the procedure.

He is also playing a lot less minutes than seasons ago. But he does recommend it.

Everybody stutters one way or the other
So check out my message to you.
As a matter of fact don't let nothin' hold you back.
If the Scatman can do it brother so can you.
Yo I'm the Scatman.

by Habana on Feb 14, 2012 10:18 AM EST reply actions  

You are assuming...

an 82 game NBA schedule for this season: "He is playing about five more minutes per game, but he’s only played 27 games, so we have yet to see if he maintains that for another 55 contests (FYI, he played in all 82 games last year, so health wasn’t much of an issue, making it tougher to claim PRP made him healthier).

They are only playing 66 this year.

by jshep12 on Feb 14, 2012 10:28 AM EST reply actions  

OK

Thanks. I barely follow the NBA. So do you think he’s playing more minutes/game because the Lakers know there are fewer games to play?

by Travis G on Feb 14, 2012 3:57 PM EST up reply actions  

See my post above.

He’s carrying the damn team. Without him logging insane minutes they’d be an 8 seed in the west at best. The Lakers bench is among the weakest in the NBA, since they inexplicably traded Odom to the Mavs for a bag of balls.

Boone Logan is a good boy. So is David Robertson. Team A.J.

by goyanks69 on Feb 14, 2012 5:07 PM EST up reply actions  

The NBA schedule is more condensed

Teams are playing more frequently, in the shorter span. Kobe last year had a ton of nagging injuries, there is an improvement in almost all his stats over the stats from last year. Also if you watch him play, there is a huge improvement in how he’s moving, he looks more fluid and natural in his motions, unlike last year where he looked and played like he was laboring hard and just seemed old.

by Yankees199 on Feb 14, 2012 11:26 AM EST reply actions  

Throw the statistics out of the window.

Kobe looks visibly more explosive. He looks healthy. For A-Rod, he might have less pain in his hip and any other joint, which could lead to good things.

by E-ROC on Feb 14, 2012 12:38 PM EST via Android app reply actions  

The other thing is...

..part of injury recovery is learning to “trust” your body again. To trust that it’s going to do what it did BEFORE you got hurt…and doing those things isn’t going to result in another injury. Often athletes (sometimes consciously, sometimes subconsciously) have a hard time with that…and that “mistrust” can lead to decreased performance or other injuries.

I suspect (but can’t prove) that was part of A-rods knee problem. He lacked trust in his hip (no matter what he was being told), so was altering his swing in a way that was putting too much stress on his knee. Even during spring training (where he looked pretty much like the old A-rod in terms of production), you could see it in his biomechanics.

If this procedure does NOTHING except help restore A-rods trust in his own body (someone mentioned the placebo effect…it’s sort of similar), that’s a good thing.

by CalinCT on Feb 14, 2012 12:48 PM EST reply actions  

face it arod is old

dont xpect anymore super seasons from alex.the yanks should have let him walk 5 yrs ago but know we’re stuck with for what 5 or 6 more yrs.i just did’nt come with that conclusion i’ve always thought that from the beginning.

patriots---mark sanchez is the greatest--keep him
jets--we're getting peyton to kick ur butts
giants---dont worry little step-brother we'll protect you from them big bad pats

by bins12 on Feb 14, 2012 12:51 PM EST reply actions  

I wouldn’t say “from the beginning”, I mean he was pretty good before the ’roid expose, but the new contract after the unfortunate opt-out was dumb.

Romine!

by david d on Feb 15, 2012 1:05 PM EST up reply actions  

It probably won't hurt ARod, and it will give him conversation starters with cute women, so....

On the other hand, centaur surgical procedures are probably best left to veterenarians. Chances are that if ARod is injured this year, it will be somewhere other than the knee and shoulder that were treated. That doesn’t mean the treatments were effective, only that 37 year old athletes are injury prone.

by designatedquitter on Feb 14, 2012 2:20 PM EST reply actions  

Are there illegal operations/procedures?

I thouht the doping rules applied to performance enhancing drugs, not any operations.

I have thought about this as the new frontier in performance enhancement anyway. Tommy John surgery is now almost routine, with pitchers often returning better than new in less than a year. Lasik surgery is a huge benefit to modern players. I can easily envision the day when a whole host of elective surgical procedurs are available to players to help them repair and even improve their bodies. This will be difficult to manage since MLB already lets players have Lasik and other elective procedures.

by Scoop1981 on Feb 29, 2012 1:09 PM EST reply actions  

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