The 2015 Yankees Outfield
Let’s be honest, the likelihood of Brett Gardner, Curtis Granderson, and Nick Swisher patrolling the outfield of Yankee Stadium together in 2015 is highly unlikely. Even more highly unlikely is that three homegrown Yankee prospects would be patrolling the outfield together, but that’s what we’re talking about here today! Well, kinda…
In the lower minors, the 2015 outfield is taking shape. While the players that could make up this trio are still a few years away from making an impact, it’s never too early to begin discussing their progress, and possible future contributions at the major league level.
If you don’t already know about Mason Williams, Ravel Santana, and Slade Heathcott, you’re about to get a formal introduction. We’ll get to the more intimate pleasantries after the jump.
As I stated above, the chances of the Yankees trotting out an entirely rookie homegrown outfield is virtually non-existent when you consider the club’s enormous budget and lust for immediate results. A much more realistic scenario is one rookie infiltrating a Yankees starting outfield with a pair of already established stars. Luckily, the Yankees are gambling with three lottery tickets in Mason Williams, Ravel Santana, and Slade Heathcott, with the hopes of striking it rich with at least one player.
Let’s take a closer look at each, profiling them in their likely position at the major league level.
Mason Williams, CF: A natural centerfielder, Williams immediately impresses with his plus speed (80 on the 20-80 scouting scale) and defensive instincts. While his arm is only average, it shouldn’t be much of an issue due to his elite speed and ability to cut balls off before they become trouble.
Offensively, Williams has the most impressive collection of tools in the system. His quick bat allows him to make good contact through the zone, and his frame should produce at least average power once he refines his hitting approach and adds muscle. At this stage, he’s more of a slap hitter who relies on his speed to wreak havoc on the bases, an approach that should change once he starts getting more loft on the ball by using more of his lower body. With more base-running polish, he’ll become a 40-50 steal threat at the major league level.
Williams reminds me a great deal of Austin Jackson from a tools standpoint, and could be the homegrown centerfielder many envisioned Jackson to be prior to the Curtis Granderson trade. He’ll make the jump to Charleston this year, so we’ll see how full-season baseball treats him for the first time.
Ravel Santana, RF: While he currently patrols center field, there is a good chance he slides over to right with Mason Williams in the fold. This actually plays right into his skill set, as Santana possesses a cannon for an arm (70 grade) that will play beautifully in right.
Where Santana differs from Williams is with the bat, as he flashes a very different set of tools, starting with plus raw power. It’s easy to envision Santana turning into a 20-30 homer guy with his bat speed and ability to lift the ball. That said, he’s the most raw of the Yankee outfield prospects, and still has much to learn in the pitch recognition department. He currently struggles with good breaking balls, but the hope is that he’ll outgrow this with more at-bats and further instruction. He’s a plus runner, but it will be interesting to see how he bounces back following a gruesome ankle injury that ended his ’11 campaign.
He may not start the season on time as he continues to recover from his ankle setback, but should start off at Staten Island of the New York-Penn league. He’s one of the guys I’m most excited about taking a trip to see this summer.
Slade Heathcott, LF: He got off to a hot start at Charleston last season before cooling and eventually being slowed once again by injuries, something that has plagued him through his career thus far. Currently a centerfielder, many envision Heathcott sliding over to left due to his shoulder woes, as two surgeries on his throwing shoulder could limit his throwing ability. The shame of this is that his defensive range is outstanding, and may not be fully utilized due to his injuries.
What the Yankees love about Heathcott is his make-up and gritty style of play. The club compares him in-house to Brett Gardner, and I also feel he compares well to Dustin Pedroia and Jason Kipnis in this regard. His energy is infectious, making him a true clubhouse guy that teammates and fans immediately gravitate towards.
Heathcott shows many of the same tools as Williams, with the major difference being the reckless style he plays the game with. His body (as long as it stays in one piece) should allow him to develop into a double-digit home run threat, and improved awareness on the bases should yield premium results in the stolen base department. He’s a classic raw tools player on the cusp of breaking out or crashing and burning. The Yankees are hoping his elite athletic ability begins allowing these tools to turn into usable skills on the field.
As I mentioned above, like any prospect, these guys are lottery tickets. Many get tossed in the trash, some yield a modest payout, and a rare few provide a substantial reward. If I were to place a wager on who I felt would be the most likely to land in the most profitable group, it would be Williams, followed by Heathcott, and finally Santana.
If the Yankees are able to develop one of these prospects into a productive major leaguer worthy of producing on a championship caliber team, that’s a huge win for the organization. At the very least, these players may turn out to be trade bait for an already established star, making their development within the organization similarly crucial.
What do you think of the 2015 future Yankees outfield? Who booms and who busts? What big name stars could be patrolling the outfield alongside our homegrown talent? Let’s take the discussion to the comments and hash this thing out.
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I'll bet at least one of Gardner, Granderson or Swisher is still on the team in 2015
In that order of likelihoodness.
by long time listener on Jan 30, 2012 10:35 AM EST reply actions
I agree
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by Brandon C. on Jan 30, 2012 10:55 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
I think that ranking is pretty fair as well.
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by Rob Steingall on Jan 30, 2012 10:59 AM EST up reply actions
I think Granderson has a better shot at remaining long term on the team than Gardner. Swisher, depending on this season’s performance, mat get a new 2 or 3 year contract.
Romine!
I’d like to know what the FO will think of Gardner as a FA. If he continues his level of playing I would have to imagine they might extend him before his last year of arbitration. Swisher will almost have to get a new contract since we have no in-house alternatives and anyone worth pursuing could be too expensive for the lowered payroll
I think Gardner will be cheaper
Granderson, if he continues to hit the way he did last year, might get a huge multi-year contract. Gardner’s not the kind of player to get that kind of deal. It’s possible that the Yankees break the bank for Grandy (and I wouldn’t bet against it), but I think it’s more likely that they keep Gardner and move him to CF and look else where for a corner outfield for less than Grandy will demand(y).
by long time listener on Jan 30, 2012 11:17 AM EST up reply actions
Possibly
The Yankees will be getting Jeter’s money to play with in a couple years, too. Mo’s and Soriano’s, also.
Romine!
Mo is never leaving
But you’re right about the other two (I think).
by long time listener on Jan 30, 2012 11:23 AM EST up reply actions
outfield of 2015
Thanks for the look into the future.I’m not a Swish fan,I.e. post season performance,not worth what were paying him this season.I would trade him with Burnett for Bulter in a heartbeat.Not sure Yanks will stay with Gardner either,he needs to improve offensively to stick around. This season will reveal whether Granderson was a one season wonder or belongs as a center piece of the outfield for awhile.Don’t think too much about the crystal ball for 2015,too many variables.If they were at AAA level and producing I’d be excited.
Butler
You and every other Yankee fan would take tha deal in a heartbeat!!!
If the Yankees paid one of the contracts (Burnett, they arent moving Swisher) and also included a high level prospect, then maybe they have a shot a Butler.
He isn’t coming cheap, though.
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by Rob Steingall on Jan 30, 2012 11:34 AM EST up reply actions
I think the way they have the outfield playing now is very telling
Granderson is still in center, even though they have Gardner, so i’d like to know what would stop them from playing Granderson (or whatever outfielder they sign in the future) in center over someone like Williams.
The Tigers are going to play Cabrera at 3rd, Fielder at 1st, and DH Inge by the looks of it.
Giambi used to play 1st ahead of Nick Johnson.
MLB teams seem to ignore defense in order to keep their starts happy.
I don't think that's what the Yankees are doing
Granderson is a fine defensive CFer and the logic at the time was that Granderson was an everday player and Gardner was a platoon player, and the other half of the platoon (at the time I believe it was supposed to be Randy Wynn?) was not an option in CF. So this would keep Granderson playing the same position everyday. Which probably has benefits rather than switching him between LF and CF constantly. However Gardner has become more of an everyday type but the move sticks because there’s no reason to fix a situation that isn’t broken. Granderson will move from CF when he’s not good in CF anymore (like Johnny Damon did).
I think Grandy is the type of player that won’t complain if they move him from center in a few years. If his range has suffered that much in center, a shift to left would make him into a good power hitting-good defensive left fielder. The speed on the basepaths may suffer as he gets older, but he’d still be able to nab 10 or so, I would imagine.
Jay Bruce
Most arguments are really about context.
by SheaWasBettor21 on Jan 30, 2012 11:21 AM EST reply actions
why would the Reds get rid of him?
we’d have to give up a lot, while we could sign someone without giving up prospects
I love Jay Bruce, but he won’t come cheap via free agency once he hits the market.
That said, he is the kind of difference maker the Yankees love, and he would be a great addition.
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by Rob Steingall on Jan 30, 2012 11:37 AM EST up reply actions
You know, I woldn't be that suprised to see Grady-Gardy-Swish in 2015.
Granderson may well get a long term deal here if he replicates 2011, Yankees would be fools to let go of Gardner, and well maybe they get a replacement for Swisher, either through one of the prospects, a trade or free agent signing but maybe they don’t.
Teams are looking up their young players more than ever, and Swish isn’t exactly going to be ancient in 2015. He’s an abov average outfielder now, and probably will still provide average production in 2015. Great if they can replace him with a better option, but a long term deal for an overpriced free agent may not be the way to go.
Swish won’t be ancient, but will the Yankees be willing to commit multiple years to him once he hits free agency? If anything, he’d probably be the guy most likely to be re-signed and utilized as the stopgap for one of their outfield prospects.
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by Rob Steingall on Jan 30, 2012 12:51 PM EST up reply actions
Ideally, one of the three develops into a quality first division outfielder, while they fill in the other two spots via trades/free agency/contract extensions.
It doesn’t really matter who or where they play, since the Yankees have shown that they don’t care where they get their production from (i.e. Brett Gardner in left field).
Contributing writer for Pinstripe Alley.
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by Frank Campagnola on Jan 30, 2012 12:21 PM EST reply actions
Agree
With all three having centerfield range, position will be more dictated by need.
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by Rob Steingall on Jan 30, 2012 12:57 PM EST up reply actions
I think 2015 is optimistic...
Especially for Santana and Heathcott. They have both had a lot of injury problems and will probably be moved cautiously over the next year or two, I think 2012 will be more of a lateral move for both of them since the main goal is just getting healthy and back on the field. I could see Mason Williams moving up levels quickly, especially if he puts in some work in the weight room and bulks up. There aren’t a lot of position players in our upper minors to get excited about (Romine, Almonte, the crippled remains of David Adams?) But the lower guys, like Sanchez, Murphy, Culver, Gumbs, Austin, Bichette and these three out fielders are really exciting. I’d be surprised if out of this pretty impressive group we don’t develop at least one big league all-star.
2015
Is a rough estimate. It’s more or less a discussion point than anything else. Saying ‘Future’ OF was too vague to me, and didn’t provide the time frame parameters that ultimately drove the piece.
Some players will move more quickly than others, and Williams certainly could be a player who does. Out of the group of younger players you mention, I think there is a very good chance you’ll see two or three develop into quality major league players.
Sanchez is the hot name, but I really love Bichette as a guy who could really develop into an impact player in a few years. He’s probably my favorite Yankee hitting prospect in the entire system.
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by Rob Steingall on Jan 30, 2012 2:30 PM EST up reply actions
I just don’t think we should expect them to move all that fast. I have a huge prospect crush on DBJr, the hope would be that an A-Rod/Nunez duo can hold down 3B until say 2016 when he’’d likely be ready to have an impact.
Didn’t take it as such, but I did feel I should be more clear on why I chose the topic.
Thanks for the great input!
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by Rob Steingall on Jan 30, 2012 3:39 PM EST up reply actions
LF
Historically, you always need a LF who can cover some ground in Yankee Stadium. Perhaps not as much now with the new place, but it’s still a lot of area in that left/center gap. So having a speed guy with CF skills there is a plus.
Team Instruction
Does anybody else remember that Granderson was instructed to allow Gardner to catch anything he could get to? I recall hearing this multiple times during game broadcasts, when Gardner would range far into CF. These plays weren’t necessarily strenuous and many could have been made by Granderson pretty easily. I think these plays padded his defensive runs.
I don’t buy into defensive metrics so literally. Based on his stats, I’m assuming he’s a very good LF. I don’t buy at all that his defense in LF made him equally valuable to Pujols in 2011 though, which is what WAR and his defensive stats imply.
Most arguments are really about context.
by SheaWasBettor21 on Jan 30, 2012 2:00 PM EST up reply actions
I agree. A more demanding CF who calls everything that he can possibly get to hurts a left or right fielders defensive metrics. Meanwhile a CF who doesn’t stray far out of his zone even if he can get to a ball helps a fielders defensive metric. There are so many balls that are soooo high that either CF or LF could catch the ball standing still. Whoever calls more gets better defensive metrics. Awesome. Defensive metrics are stupid as I’ve posted about so many times. Also, the field/stadium can have a huge impact….Carlos Lee had one of the highest defensive Wars this season. That’s comical.
The Pujols Gardner WAR comparisons is pretty comical. In no way was Gardner more valuable then Pujols this season. I look at WAR very literally. I definitely don’t let it change my opinions on any players because clearly if it’s resulting in Gardner being more valuable then Pujols, something isn’t right.
“I look at WAR very literally. I definitely don’t let it change my opinions on any players because clearly if it’s resulting in Gardner being more valuable then Pujols, something isn’t right.”
Nice. I see what you did here. I dig it.
Most arguments are really about context.
by SheaWasBettor21 on Jan 31, 2012 5:23 AM EST up reply actions
I hope Gardner stays on the Yankees for his entire career!
"WHO WOULD LEAD?! THE CLOWN?!"
by I'mGivingYouARaise on Jan 30, 2012 1:35 PM EST reply actions
This
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by Brandon C. on Jan 30, 2012 3:47 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
If Mason Williams continues to progress, he, and not Heathcott may be Gardner's successor.
Remaining free of injury is huge at the minor league level, since it allows steady progress through the system and reduces the team’s urge to trade or cut a player. If Williams (or even Heatcott) becomes regarded as MLB raedy, Gardner could find himself as trade bait, although the way the Yankees have done business, it would be the other way around. The Yankees tend to keep (and pay) proven players and deal prospects.
by designatedquitter on Jan 30, 2012 1:50 PM EST reply actions
with what?
Mason Williams, CF: A natural centerfielder with, Williams immediately impresses with his plus speed (80 on the 20-80 scouting scale) and defensive instincts
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by Cory Braiterman on Jan 30, 2012 2:49 PM EST reply actions
With...
an extra word that clearly doesn’t belong there and I missed on my self edit.
Thanks for the catch!
You can read my thoughts on all things New York sports at SNYWhyGuys.com
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by Rob Steingall on Jan 30, 2012 2:54 PM EST up reply actions
Odd...
It isn’t showing me that extra ‘with’ when I go back to edit.
Looks like we’re stuck with the ghost word until I get it figured out!
You can read my thoughts on all things New York sports at SNYWhyGuys.com
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Got It
+1 for finding it
-10 for missing it in the proofread
-1,000 for failing to edit in my first attempt
You can read my thoughts on all things New York sports at SNYWhyGuys.com
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by Rob Steingall on Jan 30, 2012 2:58 PM EST up reply actions
80 speed for Williams!
How many MLers have 80 speed? Does Gardner?
I recall seeing Heathcott in a ST game about 2 years ago, and he beat out a pretty routine grounder to 2B. He had blazing speed (maybe even faster than GGBG). He just has to stay healthy.
Williams
He’s very raw, though. Just because he can flat out fly doesn’t necessarily mean it’s going to translate to steals/runs. 28-for-40 isn’t a great success rate, but shows the great potential he does have when that raw talent translates to game usable skills.
Rangers prospect Leonys Martin is similar. Tons of speed, but a spotty success rate in his first minor league experience here in the states.
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by Rob Steingall on Jan 30, 2012 3:02 PM EST up reply actions
why is it on a 20-80 scale?
Why isn’t 1-50, or 1-100, or some other rounder numbers?
by long time listener on Jan 30, 2012 3:00 PM EST reply actions
I love these prospects
But they’re all really far away and it’s often hit or miss with prospects so raw and so far from the major league level. Heathcott is already showing signs of possibly not being able to stay healthy enough to even show he has the ability. So we’ll see.
But the outfield depth on this team is not all that big, which is why I’m in support of making a trade for someone like Dominic Brown, who is a major league ready outfielder under team control for a long time that they may need down the road. Especially if Granderson and Swisher don’t sign multi-year extensions.
"I could never wear another uniform. I will always be a Yankee"- Jorge Posada
Thanks for the memories Jorge
Give me a trade scenario
Where the Yankees can acquire Brown.
It’s always fun to play fantasy GM.
Makes for good discussion/debate!
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by Rob Steingall on Jan 30, 2012 3:41 PM EST up reply actions
Well, the one I'd heard people talking about was something involving Hughes or Betances
Or maybe both. I’m not sure. Thing is, I don’t know that much about Dominic Brown and the only time I’ve really heard of him is after this Montero-Pineda trade. So I don’t really know how much the Phillies value him or what they’d want back. If he’s really good, then it’ll probably cost a lot more. But at the same time, I have no problem with this team dealing from their SP depth to acquire someone like Brown, who would give the team a bat and lessen the need for outfielders in the future.
"I could never wear another uniform. I will always be a Yankee"- Jorge Posada
Thanks for the memories Jorge
I think you have a better chance with Hughes than you do Betances, only because Hughes has shown he can produce at the major league level. Betances, has a high upside, but needs to harness his stuff in order to reach it.
That said, I’m still not sure Hughes alone gets it done. Brown needs a chance to play in the majors everyday, and I think the Phillies are making some questionable calls regarding his development. The Juan Pierre signing is a bit baffling, and serves as yet another stumbling block for Brown.
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by Rob Steingall on Jan 30, 2012 4:31 PM EST up reply actions
Brown or Heyward?
Heyward is proven at the major league level, but had a disastrous sophmore slump. Brown is a gem of a prospect that has recently lost his shine, kinda like Hughes in 08. Both have high upsides, both potentially risky pickups if the cost is high in terms of prospects.
Personally, I’d deal Betances and Phelps/Warren for Heyward. Not sure the Braves go for that. Not sure most of you guys would go for that. Ultimately though, while Brown has 2 more years of team control he isn’t as proven at the big league level. Too many ’can’t miss’ prospects flame out, and if it was an injury holding Heyward back, maybe he returns to form in year 3.
Not saying we're getting either btw,
Just a little game for a Jets fan hoping the Superbowl ends in a draw. And desperately waiting for Spring Training to start.
I’d do that for Heyward, but I don’t think the Braves would. They have an absolute logjam at pitchers who are ready or almost ready to go. I’m not sure I see them taking on 2 more.
by WhatwouldJeterdo on Jan 30, 2012 4:29 PM EST up reply actions
This makes more sense, but the whole thing just lacks sense from the Braves perspective.
The bottom line is that Heyward is probably an untouchable commodity right now.
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by Rob Steingall on Jan 30, 2012 4:43 PM EST up reply actions
I would definitely do that deal
But the Braves would never do it. They have no reason to trade Heyward at all and would most certainly not do it for that package.
+1
I don’t see any scenario where the Braves would accept that package of players. Heyward has superstar potential despite his sophomore slump, and I don’t see them giving up on him anytime soon.
The Braves also aren’t short on pitching, so this scenario doesn’t quite work out.
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Gardner will undergo the procedures that Bartolo and Alex have had and he will cover the entire outfield himself.
by MichaelGGBGrabow on Jan 31, 2012 3:27 PM EST reply actions
My guess is FA, Williams, FA
One of those FA’s will probably be Nick Swisher in the last year of a 3-year deal. I just like his skill set to age so much better than Granderson’s, and I think If G-Man has another big year he will be overvalued in FA.
If the Yankees get under the cap in 2014, there is nothing to keep them from signing a big-name FA in 2015 to fill one of those corner slots. But that is 4 seasons away, and I have no idea who will be available.

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