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Where I went wrong


This post isn't about my life of crime, or how I ended up lost in the woods and being raised by wolverines.  I picked the Yankees for third place this year, and it now appears that I made errors in my calculations.  I'm sure that none of you did.   If I'm wrong about that as well, I would like to see whether we all made the same mistakes, or whether it was just my natural pessimism that caused me to miss the boat.  My take on this season was that age would take its toll on the position players over 30, and that the starting pitching was not competitive enough to make the playoffs.   I overrated Boston's starting pitching, health, and the contribution of Carl Crawford.  Tampa Bay has been what I expected- I just didn't think we would be good enough to beat their young horses in their starting rotation.

As Linda Richman used to say on SNL-  discuss.

Star-divide

 

Position players who ultimately did what I expected

Many players got off to terrible starts and returned to their normal numbers as the season dragged on, which helped immensely when the early great pitching began to slip. Prominent among this group are Derek Jeter, Robinson Cano, Francisco Cervelli, and Nick Swisher. Jeter actually has been playing better defense than I expected, and though I thought he would hit about .290, I wouldn’t have surprised much by .250.

Players who played at my expectations all year

This small group consists of Russell Martin, Brett Gardner, Andruw Jones, and Mark Teixeira. Little else needs to be said.

Underperformers

ARod. We expected him to be recovered from his hip injuries and to have a big year. We would have taken a decent year. Instead we got Russell Martin numbers from the cleanup position. I thought his defense would deteriorate from previous seasons as he slowed down, and it did.

More than I expected

Curtis Freaking Granderson. I thought the last two months of last year were a good sign, but I never expected this.

Edwardo Nunez. I expected nothing. Everything was a bonus.

Eric Chavez. I thought he would end up like Feliciano. He hasn’t hit much, but he’s better defensively than ARod and he is the primary reason Arod hasn’t been missed much.

If the season results were based just on the position players, the Yankees would be struggling mightily with the Rays and Angels, because I expected a lot of offense and got it, even if not always from the expected source.

Pitchers who did what I expected

CC Sabathia, AJ Burnett, Mariano Rivera, Boone Logan, Pedro Feliciano [nothing expected, head scratched at acquisition] and David Robertson. I have loved Robertson’s game since he was a rookie in 2009, so this breakout season didn’t come out of nowhere as far as I was concerned.

Letdowns

I thought we would get more from Phil Hughes, Rafael Soriano, and Joba Chamberlain.

The reason this season is a success- pitchers who went above and beyond

Take a bow, Bartolo Colon, Freddy Garcia, Corey Wade, Ivan Nova (I thought he would be good, just not this soon), and Luis Ayala (I thought you were the same guy as Feliciano, covered in Met crap). I didn’t foresee any of these guys being anything like what they turned into. Nova looked like a #5 starter. Colon and Garcia looked like reasons to trade for a pitcher in late July. Cory Wade should have traded his Durham uniform for a Scranton- Wilkes Barre one. Ayala, I apologize. You don’t suck.

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Russell

had me believeing he was back to his all star form from a few years back with that first month….. now he is hitting .240 which is way below what i thought he would be hitting. I was thinking .270 – .280 with 15 – 20 home runs.

J✈E✈T✈S✈ JETS! ✈JETS! ✈JETS!

by SLAUGHTERHOUSE on Sep 16, 2011 3:40 PM EDT reply actions  

I still don’t get the hate for Martin around here. Call him a league average catcher if you wish but it cost the Yankees nothing but chump change to get him. Jorge doesn’t catch anymore and he shouldn’t. Jesus isn’t good enough yet (if ever) evident by the Yankees not opting to starting him behind the plate right now. I’m happy with Martin as he has remained relatively healthy all season. It would’ve taken Cashman a few top prospects to obtain an above-average catcher during the last off-season.

by Scooby Snacks on Sep 16, 2011 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed

Martin has been good for the Yankees.

"Unpleasant Internet Dude"
formerly known as "Rude Internet Guy"

by david d on Sep 17, 2011 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

if there's one thing that hasn't diminished with A-Rod, its his defense.

I’m not sure what makes you think he’s gotten worse at that.

Last night, a comedian died in New York. Somebody knows why. Somebody knows

by Rorschach44 on Sep 16, 2011 3:43 PM EDT reply actions  

Agree

He’s always been solid defensively since moving to 3B.
BTW, 6 gold glovers on the Yankees infield!!

by Sports Fan! on Sep 16, 2011 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

If you add up all his great jump plays, they could total one great season.

Joking of course. But let’s face it: If A-Rod had stayed at SS, he would have won all those gold gloves instead of Jeter.

by Sports Fan! on Sep 16, 2011 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think so

Physically he’s had a hard time staying in the lineup at 3rd. If he’s stayed at SS I think he’d be a full time DH long before now.

"I’m never really surprised, but I am thrilled sometimes." Joe G. 2010

by Cbeck3 on Sep 18, 2011 9:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

who says he'd be more injury prone playing SS?

Last night, a comedian died in New York. Somebody knows why. Somebody knows

by Rorschach44 on Sep 18, 2011 7:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

ss is more demanding than 3rd

"I’m never really surprised, but I am thrilled sometimes." Joe G. 2010

by Cbeck3 on Sep 18, 2011 11:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yea A-Rod has underperormed, but when he’s been healthy he’s been far better than Russell Martin. Don’t know where you got that from- Martin disappeared for over months of the season. Difference between them is, Russ was actually in the lineup every day. Alex was not.

Welcome to the Majors, Jesus!

Now PLAY HIM MOAR!!

by nyyrocks29 on Sep 16, 2011 5:41 PM EDT reply actions  

Russell Martin

looked totally done last season. I was surprised the Yankees tried him at all, but I suppose under the circumstances they didn’t have much better to run out there and the lineup can withstand one bad hitter when the rest of it is so great.

Where have you gone, Steven Revetria? A bandwagon turns its lonely eyes to you.

"118 elements, and still no stanfurdium"- carp, paraphrased

by natteringnabob on Sep 16, 2011 6:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

ha ha

I was quiet all spring when all the glowing returns came back and he rode the small sample size train (or maybe while the AL figured out how to pitch him). I haven’t watched him constantly this year, and he’s certainly better than what the Giants have run out daily this year, but that ain’t good.

The market for catchers was pretty terrible, and with their lineup (and Romine and Montero lurking) it doesn’t make sense to trade much of value for one to bat 8th or 9th.

Where have you gone, Steven Revetria? A bandwagon turns its lonely eyes to you.

"118 elements, and still no stanfurdium"- carp, paraphrased

"That one's on me."- Madison Bumgarner

by natteringnabob on Sep 17, 2011 10:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

sox are right around where i thought they would be.

i didnt think crawford would suck, but i didnt expect elsbury explosion either. i thought a-gon’s injury would slow him down, but it only robbed his power for half the year. pedroia is right where i thought he would be, i just didnt know ESPN would decide its MVP worthy for some reason. dice K’s injury was unexpected but i didnt think he’d be any good anyway. lester has been what i though, though beckett has been far better then i thought he would be. remember, he had a crappier year then AJ last season. jon lackey i though would be crummy, but i never dreamed he’d be THIS bad. worse then AJ this season.

עם ישראל חי
סבלנות
נח''ל

by nodisrespect on Sep 16, 2011 6:02 PM EDT reply actions  

but what about the Rays?

I don’t think you would’ve thought the Rays still could’ve inched out a playoff spot- that is, if they do make the playoffs.
I know this is probably way off line, but I kind’ve feel sorry for the Rays. Despite not having a market, Rays still manage to scare the bejebus out of the Yankees and Red Sox in the standings. I think that in another division, they would be an easy first place team.

by yanksrule on Sep 18, 2011 8:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jinx post.

Residing on the BEast coast.

"Romo has nine fourth quarter comebacks and 10 game-winning drives since becoming the full-time starter in 2006. He also has thrown 34 fourth quarter touchdowns, tied for third among NFL quarterbacks since 2006."

by DCyanks21 on Sep 16, 2011 11:43 PM EDT reply actions  

Actually the Yankee team has flaws

And we know them VERY well. Where those of you who were pessimistic this spring went wrong was in over estimating the other teams. The RS pitching was as problematic as the Yanks and their depth reduced by trades. They Rays were a question marks as they hoped for good play from rookies. So, you didn’t really underestimate the Yank, You overestimated the competition.

They Yanks still look like the best of the AL. They are just not as good as they were in their best years. WE have a very interesting playoff and next few years to look forward to.

"I’m never really surprised, but I am thrilled sometimes." Joe G. 2010

by Cbeck3 on Sep 18, 2011 10:09 AM EDT reply actions  

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