Japanese Pitchers, The Non-Hype Division
You're all probably sick of Japanese pitchers, right? Well, there's another one that's apparently on the market, and the Yankees are reportedly interested in him:
Wei-Ying Chen is a 26 year-old, 6’0″ 176 pound left-handed pitcher for the Chunichi Dragons.
In Chen’s career with the Dragons, he has gone 36-30 with a 2.59 ERA, 7.2 k/9, and 2.2 bb/9. His best season was in 2009, when he led the league in ERA with a gaudy 1.54 (league average was 3.55)
Now, by my own admission I have never heard of him nor do I think he'd be a good or a bad signing. I do, however, think that this type of scenario is probably where teams would be best served scouring the Japanese leagues for talent.
Let me explain.
Whatever you think of Yu Darvish, everyone agrees that it's going to cost somewhere close to $100 million to acquire him, between the posting fee and the resultant contract. It's a high-risk/high-reward gamble.
That's not automatically bad, but medium-risk/medium-reward is more palatable. Medium-risk/medium-reward is typically what most teams go after, what most successful free agent contracts are. It might be boring, but it's what typically works.
By this logic, you could argue that the most successful Japanese player to come across the Pacific in the last decade was Akinori Iwamura. The Rays posted a modest $4.5 million to acquire him prior to the 2007 season, then signed him to a 3-year/$7.7 million dollar contact. In exchange for this, they got 6.6 WAR over three seasons, and then traded him to the Pirates prior to 2010 for a reliever who they quickly re-shipped to Atlanta for Rafael Soriano.
Medium-risk/medium-reward.
Wei-Ying Chen may never reach the majors, but that's not the point. There are probably many Japanese starters who are virtually anonymous to us, but could capably cut it as 3rd or 4th starters in the USA. American teams ignore them at their own peril.
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He's not bad
Maybe someone I’d try as a backup plan to Yu Darvish- there are guys who have come over with numbers like that in Japan and have failed here, so I’m a little more weary about it.
Let us all congratulate the Boston Red Sox for becoming the first World Champions in the history of sports to NOT make the postseason! Thats not easy to do!
there are a couple other players coming over as well
I did look into them and considered if a less elite player was a better idea so as not to break the bank for unproven talent
It's a risk of course
The difference between him and most other Japanese pitchers is that he’s about to hit his peak (he’s only 26). His shady contract allows him to come to the MLB in his prime. He also has less mileage than Darvish but he does seem to be injury-prone. I’d say at worst he becomes a left handed reliever (or spot starter). Chen won’t break the bank though and he has decent upside…could be worth taking a look.
Good analysis, kuri
I just do not want to see the Yankees think they HAVE to sign a Japanese player if they cannot get Darvish. Just recalling signing Kei Higawa after the Red Sox signed Dice K
"I don't want one of those guys who'll drive in two but let in three every game." Casey Stengel
by tnredneckyankeesfan on Nov 12, 2011 7:27 AM EST reply actions

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