Robinson Cano's Rise to the Top
I believe it’s safe to say that the New York Yankees were lacking a solid second baseman for a stretch of time after trading Alfonso Soriano and Joaquin Arias for some guy named Alex Rodriguez. Miguel Cairo mainly held down the fort in 2004, posting a decent .346 OBP while barely achieving 100 hits. Then, the Yankees signed a 35-year-old Tony Womack to play the position. Although he was mediocre, the Yankees were looking for bigger and better things.
I’ll bet not too many people remember that Rey Sanchez was the starting 2nd baseman for the Yankees on May 2nd. However, the following day was much more important. Although Sanchez collected two hits in five AB’s, it was not his turn to start for the Bombers. It may not have seemed like it at the time, but a star was born on May 3rd, 2005. A young and slim Robinson Cano emerged from the visitor dugout at Tropicana Field to make his major league debut for New York.
The Yankees were 11-16 heading into action that evening and this was certainly a prime opportunity for a 22-year-old kid to showcase his talents. And boy did Robinson ever put on a show for us.
Cano finished 2nd in the AL Rookie of the Year voting (behind CP Huston Street of the Oakland A’s) while putting up a triple slash of .297/14/78 in 132 games. Not too bad for a 22 year old kid. He was a bit lazy in the field at times, didn’t use great speed, and was a bit impatient at the plate, but the upside to Cano was definitely too good to resist.
Here are Cano’s statistics over all six years of his career thus far.
|
Year |
G |
H |
HR |
RBI |
R |
OBP |
SLG |
wOBA |
BB% |
WAR |
|
2005 |
132 |
155 |
14 |
62 |
78 |
.320 |
.458 |
.332 |
2.9% |
0.2 |
|
2006 |
122 |
165 |
15 |
78 |
62 |
.365 |
.525 |
.377 |
3.5% |
2.9 |
|
2007 |
160 |
189 |
19 |
97 |
93 |
.353 |
.488 |
.358 |
5.8% |
4.7 |
|
2008 |
159 |
162 |
14 |
72 |
70 |
.305 |
.410 |
.307 |
4.1% |
0.2 |
|
2009 |
161 |
204 |
25 |
85 |
103 |
.352 |
.520 |
.370 |
4.5% |
4.6 |
|
2010 (SO FAR) |
124 |
156 |
25 |
87 |
85 |
.390 |
.568 |
.405 |
8.8% |
6.1 |
|
2010 (ON PACE FOR) |
160 |
201 |
32 |
112 |
109 |
.375 |
.550 |
.395-.400 |
8.4% |
7.0+ |
As you all can clearly see, Cano has tallied up some exceptional numbers for a 27-year-old second baseman. He’s on pace for career highs in every category except for hits (which is not out of reach). Robinson has blossomed into a truly magnificent baseball player. His #24 has become a fixture on the back of Yankee uniforms and shirts all over the world (after brief stints with #14 and #22).
Now, here’s where things get interesting. I’m going to take the top-five second basemen since 2005 and compare Cano’s numbers to theirs as of August 24, 2010. Keep in mind that Robinson posted a horrendous year in 2008 most likely due to the fact that he signed a fairly big contract that clearly had effects on his mindset/play. Also, the other four second basemen did not play as many games as Cano did due to injury. So, I kept their batting averages and OBP the same but evened out the rest of the playing field to try and get an accurate and fair comparison. This is all assuming the players kept the same pace.
2006-2010 if every player played 726 games
|
Cano 726 G |
.312 BA |
.351 OBP |
.499 SLG |
98 HR |
876 H |
419 RBI |
19 SB/ 20 CS |
|
Utley 685 G |
.300 BA |
.389 OBP |
.525 SLG |
136 HR |
843 H |
467 RBI |
70 SB/ 8 CS |
|
Kinsler 591 G |
.282 BA |
.355 OBP |
.469 SLG |
109 HR |
790 H |
402 RBI |
124 SB/ 21 CS |
|
Phillips 723 G |
.278 BA |
.327 OBP |
.451 SLG |
102 HR |
790 H |
394 RBI |
118 SB/ 39 CS |
|
Pedroia 556 G |
.305 BA |
.369 OBP |
.460 SLG |
70 HR |
871 H |
330 RBI |
73 SB/ 16 CS |
All of the above players are proven second basemen that have played the position well over the past five years. Robinson Cano has the most power for a second baseman in the American League and hits for the most extra-base hits. His speed is evidently lacking, as he has been caught stealing more times than he has successfully stolen a base before. Although Cano has been considered one of the top players in his position, it wasn’t until this year that he totally broke out of his shell. He has already surpassed his RBI total from last year and is tied with the amount of homeruns he hit last year.
The main reason for Cano’s success has been two-fold; the ability of the batters in front of him to reach base and his own ability to reach base safely. Before this year, his highest BB% was 5.8% reached back in 2007. This year, he has increased that to 8.8% and is seeing much better pitches to drive simply because of his newly found patience at the plate.
Cano is signed through the end of the 2011 season. He has potential to become the greatest Yankee second baseman in the history of the organization. It probably won’t be too big of a problem to keep the man around. Following the tracks of players like Derek Jeter, Jorge Posada and Mariano Rivera; He’s one of our own.
And of course, most data was taken from baseball-reference.com as well as fangraphs.com.
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Comments
Good job. It's interesting to see that his walk rate has doubled this past year.
I don’t know if he’s more selective (nice walk after 0-2 last night in Toronto) or being pitched around, but that number is a huge jump. This, along with more frequent home runs and gold glove type defense makes him the best 2nd baseman in the American League. Chase Utley’s numbers are still a bit better overall, but Cano could conceivably improve even more than he has in the last season and a half.
by designatedquitter on Aug 24, 2010 4:33 PM EDT reply actions
You make a good point
I believe it’s a combination of both being selective and pitching around him. He has proven that he hits for power (.242 ISO, .568 SLG) and I’m sure pitchers take notice. Although this year he has also hit for great average (at least to start the year) and pitchers most likely become more cautious when throwing against him.
Utley has been better. No arguments against that. The man can flat out play… he was also incredible in the World Series last year.
"Winning is the most important thing in my life, after breathing. Breathing first, winning next." -George Michael Steinbrenner III
by Chris McKeown on Aug 24, 2010 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions
It’s not him being selective, he’s being pitched around. Allow me to compare his place discipline numbers for this year to last year and to his career averages:
Swing Percentage
2010: 51.7%
2009: 51.6%
Career: 52.2%
So, he’s swinging almost exactly in line with what is a typical Robinson Cano season. Now, to see how he’s expanding the zone:
Out of Strike Zone Swing Percentage
2010: 34.8% (career high)
2009: 30.9%
Career: 31.6%
Cano is actually swinging at more pitches out of the zone than he ever has in his career, but it’s not like he’s massively expanding the zone more than usual. Now let’s look at what percentage of the pitches he has seen have been strikes:
Strike Percent
2010: 62.0% (career low)
2009: 65.7%
Career: 66.0%
Add in 12 IBB this year, compared to only 14 in the rest of his career combined, and you have a Robinson Cano that appears to be more selective, but really is the same free swinging SOB that he always was. But, that’s not necessarily a bad thing. It would be better if he took more walks, but he doesn’t strike out a lot, and tends to put the ball in play with a lot of authority.
I was considering making a post on this subject, but I think this response to your post will do. And great job with it, by the way.
Questions or thoughts? Email me at duggan2423(at)gmail(dot)com
He never fails
"Winning is the most important thing in my life, after breathing. Breathing first, winning next." -George Michael Steinbrenner III
by Chris McKeown on Aug 25, 2010 11:13 PM EDT up reply actions
Oh if only that were true.
Questions or thoughts? Email me at duggan2423(at)gmail(dot)com
by Lord Duggan on Aug 25, 2010 11:22 PM EDT up reply actions
lol
"Winning is the most important thing in my life, after breathing. Breathing first, winning next." -George Michael Steinbrenner III
by Chris McKeown on Aug 25, 2010 11:25 PM EDT up reply actions
Will Cano be a Yankee for life? I'm not a 100% sure...but that's stupid, I'm not 100% sure about Jeter either.
I can’t imagine a scenario in which they let Cano leave. He will most likely be a Yankee for life.
A better question is, In 20 years (unless he’s somehow still playing), will there be a #24 in Monument Park.
A supporter of the MFY.
At this rate
Yankee players will be playing exclusively with numbers in the 60s and higher come 50 years from now!
"Winning is the most important thing in my life, after breathing. Breathing first, winning next." -George Michael Steinbrenner III
by Chris McKeown on Aug 24, 2010 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions
At this rate, the lowest numbers will be the 100s.
by designatedquitter on Aug 24, 2010 4:50 PM EDT up reply actions
+1
"Winning is the most important thing in my life, after breathing. Breathing first, winning next." -George Michael Steinbrenner III
by Chris McKeown on Aug 24, 2010 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions
Trade him for the Oswald
"Shaw, Williams, prepared to venture down the left. There's a good ball in for Tony Morley. Oh, it must be and it is! It's Peter Withe"
http://twitter.com/MattF15
Trade him for the Oswald and the Lee
"Shaw, Williams, prepared to venture down the left. There's a good ball in for Tony Morley. Oh, it must be and it is! It's Peter Withe"
http://twitter.com/MattF15
Of course
"Winning is the most important thing in my life, after breathing. Breathing first, winning next." -George Michael Steinbrenner III
by Chris McKeown on Aug 24, 2010 11:22 PM EDT up reply actions
We're spoiled to have had such great players come up through our minor league system
Really… like All Stars and future HOFers…
Good article, though.
Robbie's the cream of the crop, he rises to the top
He never eats a pig cause a pig is a cop
Or better yet he’s a a terminator
Like Arnold Schwarzenegger
Try’n to play him out like as if his name was Sega
Cuz Robbie ain’t going out like no punk bitch
Get used to one style and you know he might switch
It up up and around, then buck buck you down
Put out your head then you wake up in the Dawn of the Dead
He’s coming to get ya, coming to get ya
Hittin out dingers, homie he’ll wet ya
Strikeouts are boring- Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.
LOL
Jump Around
"Winning is the most important thing in my life, after breathing. Breathing first, winning next." -George Michael Steinbrenner III
by Chris McKeown on Aug 25, 2010 12:47 PM EDT up reply actions
I like what you did here
but i do kind of have a few issues with it
you can’t make that chart about the whole “what if they all stayed healthy and kept the same pace” thing. part of what sets Robby above the rest is his ability to stay healthy. also, baseball changes too much to assign everyone a single “pace” over a 5 year span
Utley missed time in 2007 and obviously this year. Pedroia got hurt this year. Kinsler has never topped 145 games. Phillips is the only one that has stayed relatively healthy, but even he failed to top 145 games in 2008. The only time Robby has missed time was in 2006 for a strained hammy, the first year of your chart. since then the lowest amount he has played in is 159 games
I believe in the Church of Baseball
by Frank Campagnola on Aug 25, 2010 1:56 PM EDT reply actions
It was the only way I could somewhat compare them and put them on the same level
I didn’t exactly like it either because obviously all the statistics would fluctuate.
"Winning is the most important thing in my life, after breathing. Breathing first, winning next." -George Michael Steinbrenner III
by Chris McKeown on Aug 25, 2010 2:11 PM EDT up reply actions
The problem, though, as Camp points out, is that using your method JD Drew becomes a wonderful player, when in actuality all you can count on him for is about 70 rbi.
If you projected him to full seasons, he would look like a 90+ rbi player. (He has 58 right now, which puts him on a pace for about 75 or so. Last year he had 66).
There is a difference between a player who is hurt for part of one year, and a player who misses at least 20 games every year.
by designatedquitter on Aug 25, 2010 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions
Robbie will be a Lifer
He has what the Soriano didnt, the ability to field and the clear ability to improve the facets of his hitting that keeps him from not being a 1 dimensional hitter like Soriano was. That’s why the brass didn’t mind trading him for A-Rod.
by HappyLuckyGoldenDragonNumber1! on Aug 25, 2010 5:26 PM EDT reply actions
No way!
"Winning is the most important thing in my life, after breathing. Breathing first, winning next." -George Michael Steinbrenner III
by Chris McKeown on Aug 25, 2010 11:13 PM EDT up reply actions
It wouldn’t be taking Cano this long to win a batting title if he played for a truly great team like the 1976 Reds.
Questions or thoughts? Email me at duggan2423(at)gmail(dot)com
+1
"Winning is the most important thing in my life, after breathing. Breathing first, winning next." -George Michael Steinbrenner III
by Chris McKeown on Aug 26, 2010 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions

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