Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: How The Kings Beat The Coyotes: Lather, Rinse, Repeat

Pinstripe Alley's Top 10 Yankee Prospects

"I approve your selections."

The following is a compendium of the staff's top Yankee prospects.

Travis

1. Jesus Montero, C, 20 - The top prospect going into the year didn't do anything to hurt his status. The 20-year old OPS'ed 1.080 in the second half as one of the youngest players in Triple-A. The only question is can he catch everyday in the Bigs? He only threw out 23% of base-thieves and allowed 15 passed balls in 105 games.

2. Manny Banuelos, LHP, 19 - Has moved up prospect lists largely due to increased velocity. He used to sit about 90-91 MPH, but this year was often 93-95, touching 97. Add in the fact that he's lefty, only 19, and already has Double-A experience, and you get a potential ace-in-the-making. The only concern is his height, 5'10", but being 19, he could certainly get bigger.

3. Dellin Betances, RHP, 22 - It was truly a breakout season for the 6'8" Brooklyn native. Between Single and Double-A (85.1 ip), Betances recorded career bests in K/9 (11.4) and BB/9 (2.3). Can he stay healthy and command the strikezone?

Star-divide

4. Andrew Brackman, RHP, 24 - They say it's the second year after Tommy John Surgery when pitchers get their 'feel' back. That was certainly the case with the third of the "Killer Bees." He threw 140 innings between Single and Double-A, struck out 8/9 ip, and perhaps most importantly, showed the control of a finesse pitcher (2.5 BB/9, down from 6.5/9 in '09).

5. Gary Sanchez, C, 17 - The next Montero? This kid destroyed the Gulf Coast League (.353/.419/.597) and was promoted to Staten Island where he posted a more modest .759 OPS. He won't turn 18 until March of next year. Like Jesus, the question is defense.

6. Adam Warren, 23, RHP - The control artist made a serious push to be in the top five with a great second half in Trenton including a 15-K game. Like Banuelos, his velocity increased a bit, but it's his impeccable command that makes him so highly touted: a career HR/9 rate of .2 and K/BB rate over 4.

7. Ivan Nova, 23, RHP - He would often start out and look dominant in the seven ML games he started, but would then lose control and get walloped around the ballpark. Part of it is just growing pains and learning how to get through a lineup several times. I love the kid's stuff (FB up to 97 MPH, great changeup, nasty curve), and he's shown durability (throwing 575 MiL innings in five years), but he needs to be more consistent. If he does, there's no reason he can't be a solid ML starter or great reliever.

8. Hector Noesi, 23, RHP - Yet another right-handed pitcher on the list, Noesi is a control artist (career walk rate of 1.6/9). His fastball sits in the low 90's, and with a K rate of 8.9, he has a ridiculous K/BB of 5.6.

9. Brandon Laird, 23, 3B/1B - The brother of ML catcher Gerald Laird jumped up prospect boards with a tremendous 107-game stint at Trenton where he OPS'ed .878. A poor showing in 31 games in Scranton (.612 OPS) doesn't much to diminish his luster in my eyes. There are questions about his defense and where he might fit on the Yankees (a guy named Alex plays third and is signed for another seven years), so he could be on the trading block.

10. Austin Romine, 21, C - Despite an underwhelming year in which his OPS dropped for the third straight season, his defense should still be enough to make him, at the least, a good ML back-up catcher and occasional starter.

 

Jscape

In general, I value mediocre to above average performance at high levels over All-Star projections from low levels and new draftees. I didn't see many minor league games this season, so I'm relying on reports and box scores more than usual.

1. Jesus Montero- I give the young slugger a 45% chance of making the team out of spring training, a 45% chance of being traded in the offseason, and a 10% chance of starting 2011 back in Scranton.

2. Hector Noesi- he was 10 hits or walks from posting a sub-1.00 WHIP in 98 innings at AA Trenton. Combine that with a 7.8 K/9, and he's one of the pitchers I'm most excited about in 2011. He should start the year in Scranton, and be on the short list as a spot starter.

3. Ivan Nova- he may be league average, but league average can save a season. He'll turn 24 on my birthday, so he still has upside. With a chance to fill the Aceves/Mitre/Gaudin role on the 2011 rotation, he'll have plenty to play for.

4. Romulo Sanchez- he looked good in the 2 games Joe Girardi was willing to use him in, but he walked too many in Scranton by a factor of 3. Still, I think he could have a Brian Bruney-esque career, piling up Ks on hot streaks and BB on cold streaks. A good bullpen manager (and Joe G. generally is one) could get a lot out of him.

5. Austin Romine- his AA season looked a lot like his high-A 2009: solid defense, a roughly .270 batting average and a .320 OBP, but this year he showed even less power, slugging .400, a 40 point drop. I attribute that to the bigger park in Trenton, but I don't think his OBP can fall any farther and have him still considered a potential Yankee regular. Like Austin Jackson, I wonder if he won't be moved for a big league version of his future.

6. Adam Warren- the fastball, change, curve combo is working for the former UNC righty; he threw 130 innings to a 1.14 WHIP between A+ and AA. I expect him to start next season in Trenton, but he could find himself on a fast track to Scranton.

7. Manny Banuelos- the most hyped Yankee lefty since Brandon Claussen, he threw a very exciting 44 innings at A+ Tampa. The scouts love his arm and his poise. He'll turn 20 in March and should start the season in Trenton.

8. Brandon Laird- the 3B's breakout AA season (107 games, .291/.355/.523) was only slightly marred by his brief AAA experience (31 games, .246/.268/.344). Both performances scream small sample size, and his full season looked in line with career expectations. Still, he took another step toward giving the Yankees an in-house candidate to take over 3B as Arod transitions to a full time DH.

9. Andrew Brackman- the righty with the endless wingspan finally seemed to stay healthy and figure things out in 2010. He split time between Tampa and Trenton, holding his K rate over 8.0 while cutting his walk rate by nearly 2/3 to a sparkling 2.5 BB/9.

10. Jeremy Bleich- you want to know why There Is No Such Thing As A Pitching Prospect? Bleich went from Trenton to torn labrum in 40 innings.

Honorable mentions, in order: Betances, Kontos, Nunez, Joseph, Sanchez, David Adams, Heathcott, Murphy, DJ Mitchell, Suttle, Heredia

 

Duggan

1. Jesus Montero (C) - Not really much to talk about here, dude's a freak.

2. Manuel Banuelos (LHP) - 19 year old who has already debuted at AA and has impressed at every level.

3. Gary Sanchez (C) - Very talented 17 year old IFA signing, who will be known as "Jesus Montero 2.0" in a few years if things keep progressing.

4. Dellin Betances (RHP) - Took a huge step forward this year by dominating in A ball (1.77 ERA, 1.83 FIP) and debuting in AA. The stuff has always been there if Betances can stay healthy and keep his control.

5. Austin Romine (C) - The best defender of the catching prospects, and seems destined to play in the majors. What you get with Romine is a lot lower ceiling, but a lot higher floor.

6. Hector Noesi (RHP) - Pitched very well at AA and debuted at AAA at the end of the year. There is a good chance he makes his ML debut in 2011 if he keeps pitching well and his readiness to contribute gives him a boost over some of the younger "higher ceiling" guys that are a little bit further away.

7. Andrew Brackman (RHP) - 80.2 innings of 2.90 ERA pitching at AA was a major step up in the up and down roller coaster of performance and expectations that define Brackman.

8. Graham Stoneburner (RHP) - Threw 142 innings between A and A+ in 2010 and was dominant at both stops. If 2011 is like 2010, he'll most likely hop over every pitcher on this list except ManBan and (maybe) Betances.

9. Adam Warren (RHP) - I consider Warren the pitching version of Austin Romine. He's not likely to blow you away and become an ace, but he seems almost guaranteed to have a serviceable (at worst) big league career.

10. Slade Heathcott (OF) - Wasn't horribly impressive in 2010: .258/.359/.352 with a whopping 33.9 K%, but if he can learn the strike zone and continue drawing walks (12.0 BB%) I think he has a lot of room to improve. Even though he didn't really show it this year, I'm still bullish on Heathcott's potential.

 

Brandon

1. Jesus Montero- This isn't even questionable. Unless traded, I will guarantee that he plays for the MLB club at somepoint this upcoming season before September.

2. Dellin Betances- I don't know much about this guy, but what I've heard from scouting reports and other reports, he is going to be very, very good.

3. Manny Banuelos- Height doesn't always determine talent.

4. Austin Romine- I've always held him in higher regard than Jesus Montero because of his defense. That changed completely this season when Montero proved he was the real deal in AAA and Romine struggled defensively and had some difficulties offensively as well.

5. Gary Sanchez- Another catching guy. Looks like another candidate to replace Posada eventually if Montero/Romine are traded or don't work out.

6. Hector Noesi- This guy isn't one of the marquee names of the prospect class for the Yankees, but he is one that I am excited for.

7. Andrew Brackman- To be honest, I didn't see the whole comeback thing coming from Brackman. The guy was just plain horrendous in 2009, but bounced back in a solid way in 2010. If he can channel his potential he will be in the upper levels and pitching well very soon.

8. Brandon Laird- I love this guy, not just because of his name. He swung the bat great in AA this year and played well at the start in AAA then struggled a bit. There isn't a spot open for him right now in the majors, but he's a talented player.

9. Ivan Nova- We saw some of him towards the end of the season, but we did not see the best of him. He can be a very good 4th starter if he reaches his potential.

10. David Adams/Corban Joseph- Both young infield prospects that I have not gotten the chance to talk to anyone about yet.

I left off the Heathcott type players because there are a lot of question marks before they reach the mid-upper levels.

[photo source]

Poll
Whose list do you most concur with?
Travis
70 votes
Jscape
20 votes
Duggan
37 votes
Brandon
23 votes
They're all wrong
53 votes

203 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 36 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

I don't know, but I have trouble getting too excited about players coming off arm surgery, particularly pitchers. They often break down again.

I like control pitchers more than many scouts, who think that velocity + learning to control it= stardom. The guys who already have great control often pitch just as effectively in the majors as they did in the minors.

Of all the players not named after major deities, I like Nova, who seems like an excellent candidate to learn to vary his pitch pattern enough to get through lineups twice.

by designatedquitter on Nov 4, 2010 10:18 AM EDT reply actions  

11

Fixed it.
I had him 10, decided to go back to Bleich at 10, and din’t put Betances back in the Honorable Mentions.

"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."

by jscape2000 on Nov 4, 2010 10:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

I voted for Duggan

mostly because he included Stoneburner, who I like a lot. For always picking towards the bottom of the rounds or not even having picks(Thank you, Type-A free agents) I feel like the system has some incredible prospects and that’s why I’m not sold on always signing a big free agent or making a trade every offseason.

by andrew21 on Nov 4, 2010 10:43 AM EDT reply actions  

Surprised Man Ban is so low for scape

I’d throw a hash brown at you if I could.

Gotta roll with Travis’ list. Romine don’t impress Bo, so I agree that he’s really at the low end of this.

I agree that Stoneburner needs to be on the list more, but he’s only in the system one year.

Last night, a comedian died in New York. Somebody knows why. Somebody knows

by Rorschach44 on Nov 4, 2010 10:56 AM EDT reply actions  

I try not to confuse excitement and hope with value.

ManBan could provide the Yankees with massive value in a year or two. But right now, this instant, he’d likely be eaten alive at the big league level. The Yankees’ goal is to win a championship this year, so I think Noesi and Sanchez et al are more valuable.

I dream big things for the Bs- Brackman, Banuelos and Betances. But I dreamed big things for the Trinity, too- IPK, Hughes and Joba. Once burned, twice shy in prospect ranking.

"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."

by jscape2000 on Nov 4, 2010 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

(*picks one up and throws it)

Last night, a comedian died in New York. Somebody knows why. Somebody knows

by Rorschach44 on Nov 4, 2010 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

In order

Duggan – almost the same as my personal list, with a few spot flips
Travis – Disagree with some of the selections and the drop to Romine, but backed up well with stats
Jscape – Least agreeable list, as I vale guys with + potential over good players who’ll likely not make it with the Yanks
Barndon – Agree with most of the picks, but no stats to sway me on them

by Monotonousblob on Nov 4, 2010 11:01 AM EDT reply actions  

Sorry about that, I had little time to do this because I’m swamped with work right now.

Writer for Pinstripe Alley, MLB Daily Dish
Follow me on twitter @nyybrandonc
Big Yankees and NY Rangers fan!
R.I.P. Freddy 'Sez', Bob Sheppard, George Steinbrenner

by Brandon C. on Nov 4, 2010 3:27 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

And this is a comment on the comment about ranking the rankers’ rankings.
This is so meta! I love what I do.

"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."

by jscape2000 on Nov 4, 2010 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

You are an epitome of funny

*** FREE FreeBradshaw ***

by Wraithpk on Nov 4, 2010 4:15 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Jscape, how could you possibly have Bleich over Betances?

Dellin’s surgery wasn’t nearly as bad as Bleich’s and he has come back 100% healthy with his old stuff and a much much better changeup. Not to mention Betances is younger than Bleich. 11.4 K/9!!!

Strikeouts are boring- Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.

by CasanovaWong on Nov 4, 2010 12:26 PM EDT reply actions  

Age is important.
As I’ve tried to explain else where, I’m interested in value to the MLB Yankees, sooner over later.
Bleich should move quickly through the system, and I think he should be back quickly in 2011.

To me, I really have a list of 1, 2-6, 7-14 that are all pretty interchangeable.

For future reference, would you have preferred I’d ranked them Montero, Sanchez, Betances, Banuelos, Brackman, Romine, Noesi, Nunez, Heathcott, Laird?

"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."

by jscape2000 on Nov 4, 2010 1:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

That's the BA list, isn't it?

I assume you;re asking because you think I want you to conform to what the MSM is saying? I don’t think that way at all. I just don’t think Bleich has nearly as high a ceiling as Betances, not to mention he’s coming off shoulder labrum surgery which has a significantly lower recovery rate than Betances’ surgery.

Strikeouts are boring- Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.

by CasanovaWong on Nov 4, 2010 1:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

you gusy are pulling the cord too quick on Romine – it was his 1st year catching full time. And regarding Sanchez, he is more athletic than Montero, so they say catching shouldn’t be a problem.

Section 203 Row 15 Seat 1

by jramey on Nov 4, 2010 12:51 PM EDT reply actions  

I like Baseball America’s list. haha

Section 203 Row 15 Seat 1

by jramey on Nov 4, 2010 12:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Doesn't Matter whose list is right

Guaranteed that at least half of them will be on somebody else’s roster by the end of next season.

by OldYankee Fan on Nov 4, 2010 2:37 PM EDT reply actions  

Doubtful.

Strikeouts are boring- Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.

by CasanovaWong on Nov 4, 2010 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

I voted Duggan

since he’s the only one who had the same top 5 I would have had, Montero-Banuelos-Sanchez-Betences-Romine.

A lot of people forget about Sanchez, but he’s another catching prospect that seems like he’s on his way to being a big time player. I like him a lot, and having him waiting for the future may make it a little easier for me if Montero gets traded. If Montero is kept and Sanchez is blocked, then Sanchez could make some great trade bait if he continues to improve.

I want Montero though. He’d better not be traded.

**FREE FreeBradshaw***

"I'll do whatever it takes to win games, whether it's sitting on a bench waving a towel, handing a cup of water to a teammate, or hitting the game-winning shot."- Kobe Bryant

by nyyrocks29 on Nov 4, 2010 2:51 PM EDT reply actions  

If Sanchez progresses like Montero, but is a better defender,

I could see him taking over catching from Montero when he is ready pushing Montero to the OF

Section 203 Row 15 Seat 1

by jramey on Nov 4, 2010 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Montero in the outfield?

I’m not sure about his speed but I would think he’s pretty slow. Do you really want a guy with Marcus Thames like range starting in the OF?

Montero’s value to the Yankees would be its highest as a catcher because there aren’t many offensive catchers at his level.

**FREE FreeBradshaw***

"I'll do whatever it takes to win games, whether it's sitting on a bench waving a towel, handing a cup of water to a teammate, or hitting the game-winning shot."- Kobe Bryant

by nyyrocks29 on Nov 4, 2010 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

But I'm saying Sanchez has the potential to be the complete package

and how long did we have Gary Sheffield manning right?

Section 203 Row 15 Seat 1

by jramey on Nov 4, 2010 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

So move Montero to Right when Sanchez is ready, then to first when Tex’s contract is up?

***FREE FREEBRADSHAW***

by TheRealSlimShady on Nov 5, 2010 12:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

Sanchez is also 17 years old with one professional season under his belt.

As soon as Jesus graduates to the big club, Sanchez will become the most exciting hitting prospect in the system, but let’s not get the cart before the horse and move Jesus to the outfield just yet.

Questions or thoughts? Email me at duggan2423(at)gmail(dot)com

by Lord Duggan on Nov 4, 2010 6:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Duggan, did you get my email about Cliff Lee? Just wanted to confirm.

Writer for Pinstripe Alley, MLB Daily Dish
Follow me on twitter @nyybrandonc
Big Yankees and NY Rangers fan!
R.I.P. Freddy 'Sez', Bob Sheppard, George Steinbrenner

by Brandon C. on Nov 4, 2010 7:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Is Romulo Sanchez a joke?

***FREE FREEBRADSHAW***

by TheRealSlimShady on Nov 4, 2010 7:10 PM EDT reply actions  

He’s supposed to be good. Not top 10 good in my opinion, but good.

Writer for Pinstripe Alley, MLB Daily Dish
Follow me on twitter @nyybrandonc
Big Yankees and NY Rangers fan!
R.I.P. Freddy 'Sez', Bob Sheppard, George Steinbrenner

by Brandon C. on Nov 4, 2010 7:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

He had an ERA over 4 in AAA as a reliever, plus he’s 26 and out of shape.

***FREE FREEBRADSHAW***

by TheRealSlimShady on Nov 4, 2010 7:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t think weight determines how much in shape you are, or overall talent.

Writer for Pinstripe Alley, MLB Daily Dish
Follow me on twitter @nyybrandonc
Big Yankees and NY Rangers fan!
R.I.P. Freddy 'Sez', Bob Sheppard, George Steinbrenner

by Brandon C. on Nov 4, 2010 10:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Have you seen him? He is clearly overweight.

And lets say he is in good shape…

He still had an ERA over 4 in AAA as a reliever, plus he’s 26

***FREE FREEBRADSHAW***

by TheRealSlimShady on Nov 5, 2010 12:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

Did you separate starting and relieving stats? You can argue CC is overweight, and one season in AAA Mariano Rivera had a 5.81 ERA.

I’m not arguing Sanchez is great, but I’m arguing he is good and you can’t just declare he is bad because of an OK year in AAA. In 2008 Aceves’ ERA was at 4.12 and 2009 3.80. He turned into a solid long reliever. Who’s to say Sanchez can’t do that?

Writer for Pinstripe Alley, MLB Daily Dish
Follow me on twitter @nyybrandonc
Big Yankees and NY Rangers fan!
R.I.P. Freddy 'Sez', Bob Sheppard, George Steinbrenner

by Brandon C. on Nov 5, 2010 10:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Moe_small
The Great RISP Dilemma of 2012
Newjedi_small
On Gary Sanchez

Recent FanPosts

Small
Interpreting stats: regression to mean vs regression towards a mean
Me_small
Five Reasons A-Rod Won't Hit For Power Anymore
Swell_small
We Can Do Better
129090373127704989_small
Cole Hamels, the Phillies woes, & the Yankees
Lebron_james_chalk_wallpaper_by_rhurst-d31f5ld_small
DRob the Putz
Small
Mo's ACL
Moar_bacon_small
The Captain Calls a Players Only Meeting
Mickey-mantle-at-yankee-stadium-1963-photographic-print-c10115880_small
Wow, so now where do we stand?

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Yahoo_full_count

Managers

Mo_rivera_small Travis G

Nsapcs7_extr_small Brandon C.

Writers

Moar_bacon_small Lord Duggan

V5zevr_small WhatwouldJeterdo

Costanza_small I'mGivingYouARaise

303471_10151746570070545_653045544_23923912_598579634_n_small Frank Campagnola

Cone_coffeez_small Andrew GM

Newjedi_small Jedi Master A-Rod

T128_small Rob Steingall

Don-mattingly_small William Juliano