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Predictions (so far)

Recently Dayn Perry of Fox Sports came up with some predictions for the 2010 season. Here are some of my own predictions:

1. Yankees repeat as World Champs, defeat the San Francisco Giants in 5 games. Yes, the Giants. With a front two of Lincecum and Cain, an improved Jonathan Sanchez, and the always interesting Barry Zito the Giants could be a surprise team out of the NL. If the Giants don't make it, the next prediction would be the Phillies.

2. Yankees, White Sox, Mariners, and Red Sox make the playoffs out of the AL. In the NL? Phillies, Cardinals, Giants, Cubs make the playoffs in the NL.

3. Bobby Cox finishes seven wins shy of 2,500 wins. (Braves win 81 games in 2010)

4. Freddie Gonzalez, Bud Black, Cito Gaston, and Bob Geren all are fired during the season.

5. Cliff Lee outpitches Roy Halladay, makes the Mariners look even smarter.

6. Albert Pujols wins ANOTHER MVP award.

7. Mark McGwire turns out to be a great hitting coach.

8. Yankees predictions? Javier Vazquez becomes a solid 2nd starter. A.J. Burnett battles injuries and ineffectiveness and becomes the 4th starter. Andy Pettitte wins 15 games. Curtis Granderson raises his batting average to .283 (yes .283), hits 28 home runs. Alex Rodriguez hits 40+ home runs.

9. How about the Mets? Mets finish an even 81-81.

10. Wang? Wang becomes a solid 3rd starter for the St. Louis Cardinals. Wang doesn't regain his old form, but pitches well enough to be a solid MLB starter.

11. Damon? Damon signs with a team other than the Yankees. The contract? One year, $4 million guaranteed, tons of incentives.

12. Ivan Nova, Zach McAllister, Kevin Whelan, Romulo Sanchez, Wilkin De La Rosa, and Kevin Russo all make their MLB debut, among a few others.

I didn't go into too much detail into any of my predictions, so if you have ANY questions feel free to ask.

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Giants?

I love the frontend with Lincecum and Cain, but they still need some offense in order to be legit WS contenders, no?

I think the Rockies win that division; Phillies win the pennant.

by FloridaownsFSU on Jan 21, 2010 9:11 AM EST reply actions  

+1

I’ll add: the NL Wildcard out of the Central?

"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."

by jscape2000 on Jan 21, 2010 10:24 AM EST up reply actions  

Yes, Giants and Cubs

I struggled to find a team better than the Cubs (no, not the Mets, no, not the Dodgers) The only possibility was the Rockies….just my opinion, though.

Giants do have bad hitting, but if they make the playoffs I think they can go far with their pitching

Writer for Pinstripe Alley.
"Today I consider myself the luckiest man on the face of this earth."
"So I close in saying that I may have had a tough break, but I have an awful lot to live for."

by Brandon C. on Jan 21, 2010 1:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Don't see what makes the Cubs better than the Dodgers

and I’m very much a critic of the Dodgers.

The Cubs were inconsistent all of last year, and it’s not as if they upgraded. Essentially, they’ve traded Rich Harden for Carlos Silva…two pitchers who are literally polar opposites of each other.

I think the Philles, Cardinals, and Rockies are the division winners; Dodgers, Giants, Braves, and Marlins the top Wild Card contenders. I’d honestly be surprised if the Cubs were in the race late in the season.

by FloridaownsFSU on Jan 21, 2010 1:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Maybe the Marlins actually

I don’t like the Dodgers because of the owner situation and the fact that they have done literally nothing this offseason.

Writer for Pinstripe Alley.
"Today I consider myself the luckiest man on the face of this earth."
"So I close in saying that I may have had a tough break, but I have an awful lot to live for."

by Brandon C. on Jan 21, 2010 1:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Which is part of the reason

why I like the Rockies in that division. I feel they have the pitching, offense, and defense to be very good. The only NL team I rate higher is Philly, with just cause.

by FloridaownsFSU on Jan 21, 2010 2:30 PM EST up reply actions  

I like the Rockies a lot too.

Maybe even as co-NL favorites with the Phillies. Giants won’t hit enough to make it to the playoffs. Signing Molina to retard Posey’s progress only sets them back further.

by stusviews on Jan 21, 2010 5:42 PM EST up reply actions  

OK I'll play

Here are MY predictions for 2010:

1. Yankees repeat as World Champs, defeating the Phillies in a 7 game series. If Manny goes back on steroids then the Dodgers have a chance. I recently read a Giants blog where the nicest word any of the fans used to describe SF’s hitting was “mediocre,” so I don’t think the pitching enough will help them win it.

2. 6 teams will win Division titles and two will win wild card berths.

3. Melky Cabrera hits .290 with 20 homeruns and leads the Braves to an 89 win season, propelling Cox to his 2500 win target.

4. Omar Moron-o will STILL not get fired.

5. CC Sabathia out-pitches the world and wins the Cy Young.

6. A-Rod wins another MVP award.

7. Mark McGwire continues to be a lying A**wipe and continues to get excused for it by fans who want to see A-Rod in the Hall of Fame someday.

8. Javy Vazquez struggles mightily in the AL East.

9. Mets continue to define sucking until they are under new management.

10. Wang joins the Red Sox and wins ten games down the stretch. Then Hideki Irabu sprouts wings and learns to fly.

11. Johnny Damon signs with a team that lets him grow his hair long again.

12. George Steinbrenner awakes briefly to insist that Brian Cashman go sign keegan paterson, a player he saw hit a 902 foot homerun in his old copy of the PC game MVP 2005.

by 209209 on Jan 21, 2010 9:27 AM EST reply actions  

Is MVP '05 old now?

What’s a good game to upgrade to? (PS2 and Wii)

"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."

by jscape2000 on Jan 21, 2010 10:25 AM EST up reply actions  

I still like it!

I got the MLB 2009 or whatever it’s called for my PC when it went on sale for $20 and was surprised to find it didn’t work very well and many of the stadiums and animations were lifted from MVP 2005! Plus it seems incomplete, many details left out, such as hands not animated while runners run, etc. The faces on the players look NOTHING like the actual players, at least on my computer. With MVP 2005, I can modify the faces myself, so I have Thurman Munson, Don Mattingly, Willie Mays, and even Bob Uecker in the game, all with faces I made myself. On my cyber-Yankees, Joba will ALWAYS be in the bullpen, haha.

So MVP 2005 doesn’t get old for me, I just keep adding new players.

by 209209 on Jan 21, 2010 10:41 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, I’ve added most of my friends.
In video game land, Edwantsacracker is on a run of 4 straight Cy Youngs. My player is modeled after Cool Papa Bell (but a shortstop).

I’m far enough along in the dynasty mode that most of the current Yanks have retired.

"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."

by jscape2000 on Jan 21, 2010 11:01 AM EST up reply actions  

Man, I didn’t even know MLB 2K9 came out on PC. The lukewarm reviews I’ve read so far all still refer to MVP05 as the definitive PC game. I’ve pretty much given up on baseball games since EA stopped making MLB editions. The college one they had made a year later just didn’t feel the same. I’m not much of a gamer and the last console that I’ve owned is the original PS one.

It’s funny to me that the MVP05 mod community forums are still running strong. After seeing yours and jscape’s post, I’m feeling tempted to reinstall MVP05 that hasn’t been touched in years.

by Scooby Snacks on Jan 21, 2010 1:10 PM EST up reply actions  

mlb 09 the show was a very good game, probably the best baseball game made yet. It did have some bugs, but it was very realistic (i.e. you can’t hit .600 and hit 100+ HR in a year even on rookie like you could in MVP baseball).

by Wraithpk on Jan 22, 2010 8:25 PM EST up reply actions  

None of the players looked right

I bought a download version, it was all buggy and hideous-looking when it did work. It’s probably better for gaming consoles than for the PC. The ultimate PC baseball game is still MVP 2005 I think. At least on my PC!

by 209209 on Jan 26, 2010 12:20 PM EST up reply actions  

These picks can't miss

1. A highly paid free agent will disappoint
2. A big star will suffer a season ending injury
3. A rookie will come “out of nowhere” and make a big splash
4. Someone will test positive for PEDs
5. A well- known player will confess to past use of PEDs
6. The Cubs World Series- avoidance strategy will continue to succeed
7. A young player will have a breakout season and stat- heads will come out of the woodwork claiming that they called it in advance.
8. A depleted pitching staff will inquire as to whether Tony Fossas is still available.
9. The Red Sox will work out Jose (he’s not banned here yet) Offerman
10. In late April the Orioles, Royals, and Pirates wil all be in or near first place
11 In late May, the Orioles, Royals, and Pirates will all be nowhere near first place
12 A Yankee outfielder will be going poorly leading to calls to sign Johnny Damon
13 A “Yankees Suck” chant will arise in Fenway Park despite the fact that the Yankees are playing at least 1,000 miles away
14 Joe Morgan and Tim McCarver will be forced to fight to the death, and the survivor will be allowed to do color commentary for an independent league team in New Jersey

I’m positive about all of my picks, except the last one, which I am guardedly optimistic about.

by designatedquitter on Jan 21, 2010 9:55 AM EST reply actions  

I think your prediction of the Giants:

is way off base, although I would LOVE to see it happen…..Being from Northern California I would really like to see my local bunch have some more success…..They were surprising last year with the pitching and even with so-so bats will do fine again…..I do hope this pick is right on…..Down with the dodgers and that pathetic manny…..

Rick
Goooooooooooo MSU BOBCATs
MONTANA STATE UNIVERSITY
Almost 60 years as a YANKEE Fan

by ramyankee on Jan 21, 2010 10:27 AM EST reply actions  

Here we go:
Yanks, Twins, M’s, Red Sox
Phillies, Cards, Dodgers, Mets

Yankees defeat Mets

AL: Mark Teixeira, Felix Hernandez
NL: David Wright, Roy Halladay

"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."

by jscape2000 on Jan 21, 2010 10:33 AM EST reply actions  

Agree with the AL

I’ll take SF over LA to win the West and LA to get the Wild Card over the Mets. Yanks defeat Cards, 4-1.

by david d on Jan 21, 2010 11:37 AM EST up reply actions  

I hate SF offense too much to be a believer.

"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."

by jscape2000 on Jan 21, 2010 11:59 AM EST up reply actions  

Yanks/Cards Series A Definite Possibility... Yankees in six again

Mets… no way!!! Third place in NL east at best.

Damon probably signs with Atlanta. Nady probably signs with us .

Texeira wins AL MVP; CC wins 20 games; Joba to pen; Hughes #5 starter

Yanks 100+ wins in 2010 regular season again.

Girardi Manager of the Year in 2010

by YANKEES FOREVER on Jan 21, 2010 12:13 PM EST up reply actions  

I forgot one-

15. The Red Sox win the opener, signs announcing their “magic number” (161) immediately go up.

by designatedquitter on Jan 21, 2010 10:47 AM EST reply actions  

No way.

I’m betting that they have signs with “magic number” 162 before the first game.

by Gelatin on Jan 21, 2010 12:29 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

i know that it is fun to do

but i think it is way to early for these predictions. at LEAST wait until some spring training is in.

by chris_is_now on Jan 21, 2010 2:00 PM EST reply actions  

It's not too early, Chris

My picks are ironclad, and come with a money- back guarantee.

Here are some additional predictions:

1 for 4 with a walk, 1 run scored, 0 rbi.
Wieters, Jones, and Markakis.
Bud Selig will have something to say about it.

Months of careful research, crunching the numbers, and Mad Libs have gone into these picks.

by designatedquitter on Jan 21, 2010 3:39 PM EST reply actions  

3 and 5 are my only questions

I think the Braves will be a +500 team, but I will concede under 88 wins.

Halladay is going to the NL, so he gets a free out every 3 innings minimum. You can’t make me believe any pitcher is going to get a good read on Halladay, a pitcher who 1 hit the Yanks this year. Lee is going to the AL west, which I think is harder than the Central which he pitched his last full season in a league, but on par with the NL East. The Angels will be rough to him, the Rangers will be rough to him. He doesn’t get the free out.

by ZigKitsune on Jan 21, 2010 6:02 PM EST reply actions  

Nova to pitch in Majors this year?

I’m sorry but I’ve seen Nova pitch in person in Scranton a few times now and there’s times he’s looked NASTY and times where he’s been ROCKED. That being said, I still think he’s a good year away, based on what I’ve seen.

And no MLB debut for Montero?

by StevieV17 on Jan 21, 2010 6:44 PM EST reply actions  

Whoops

Forgot about Montero…..hmmmm….September call-up MAYBE if Johnson doesn’t get hurt…..if Johnson does get hurt….maybe a DH call up…..don’t be surprised if he isn’t called up at all

Writer for Pinstripe Alley.
"Today I consider myself the luckiest man on the face of this earth."
"So I close in saying that I may have had a tough break, but I have an awful lot to live for."

by Brandon C. on Jan 21, 2010 6:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Nova's delivery

gives me a good deal of concern. He exposes the ball a good deal on left handed hitters, and major league lefties should be able to do a good deal of damage when they know what pitch is coming.

by FloridaownsFSU on Jan 21, 2010 7:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Nova

http://mlb.mlb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&sid=l131&t=p_pbp&pid=467100
http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=nova—001iva
http://thunderbaseball.wordpress.com/2009/05/23/tommy-phelps-on-ivan-nova/

Hate to say it, but this is all I really know. I have talked to Chad Jennings and Mike Ashmore and they assure me he is a future MLB starter (maybe 4th or 5th) but they seem to think it won’t necessarily be this year.

Writer for Pinstripe Alley.
"Today I consider myself the luckiest man on the face of this earth."
"So I close in saying that I may have had a tough break, but I have an awful lot to live for."

by Brandon C. on Jan 21, 2010 7:42 PM EST up reply actions  

My comment

derived from seeing one of Ashmore’s Youtube clips on Nova.

It does concern me a bit.

by FloridaownsFSU on Jan 21, 2010 8:09 PM EST up reply actions  

I see what you're saying

Maybe a few changes by Aldred and Eiland can fix that

Writer for Pinstripe Alley.
"Today I consider myself the luckiest man on the face of this earth."
"So I close in saying that I may have had a tough break, but I have an awful lot to live for."

by Brandon C. on Jan 21, 2010 8:24 PM EST up reply actions  

ok but Mcguire

is the guy who f uped Hollidays batting stance last yr in Oakland which resulted in his terrible numbers until he changed back to his old motion.I completely disagree that he will amount to even an average hitting coach.

Let the Panic bloom

by cashman bashman on Jan 21, 2010 10:05 PM EST reply actions  

MCGWIRE

learn to spell his name,how did he f up holidays stance? he had nothing to do with it.

by R. Lewis on Jan 22, 2010 12:22 AM EST up reply actions  

mcgwire

worked with Holliday last off-season and that work produced a swing/stance change that Holliday corrected after he went to St. Louis.

Here is a story about his off-season work last year.

Here is a link to a story about how his stance changed back and forth, from the mouth of Scott Boras, no less.

by phonty on Jan 22, 2010 1:32 AM EST up reply actions  

Go back to yahoo with the rest of the wierdos

I bet you have never mispelled a word in your life up on your high and mighty 3rd grade teachers chair.

Let the Panic bloom

by cashman bashman on Jan 25, 2010 4:11 PM EST up reply actions  

the giants?

please,they dont have a chance in hell making it to october. probally 2nd in the nl west at the very best. and not good enough to get the wild card. anybody want to take bets?

by R. Lewis on Jan 22, 2010 12:19 AM EST reply actions  

My prediction?

Pain.

The Yankees rotation will the best 1-5 since the 2005 White Sox. Between CC, AJ, Javy & Joba: 900 innings & 60 wins.

Andy will go < 130 innings & Hughes will pick up 70 innings as a starter.

I always feel pressure. What I don't have is fear. -- El Duque

by LateInningRelief on Jan 22, 2010 7:06 AM EST reply actions  

+1

for Rocky reference :)

by phonty on Jan 22, 2010 1:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Yanks will sign Damon & win #28 in 2010

Yanks will make an Abreu(1year/$5MM) deal with JD just prior to Spring Training. Damon realizes he has no better options & wants another ring.

by YANKEES FOREVER on Jan 22, 2010 11:00 AM EST reply actions  

I agree damon comes back...

If he smartens up….I don’t think damon is going to be out for the season…he will be playing some where…I don’t see how you go from WS champion and runner up for WS MVP to sitting on your couch….

Predicitions:….

Yankees repeat….

Anything after that is null & void…..

-Announcemen Forwarded To The Following: Boston Blowsox, New York Pets, Philadelphia Phonies, And Any Other Team Who Ain't The With The Empire.................

Getcha' Fuccin Rings Up........

by NYYWinsRings27 on Jan 22, 2010 1:20 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Here are my predictions.

Yanks win the AL East (100+ wins)
Red Sox win the Wild Card (95+ wins)

Those two are easy and I would bet my house on them. (Don’t worry I don’t own a house, silly).

The other two AL divisions are a bit trickier, in the West, I’ve noticed everyone and their mother has been riding the Seattle Mariner’s D (and I don’t mean their defense) because of the great offseason they had. And it was great. The thing is, WHO do they have after Lee and King Felix in that rotation? Seriously their offense was not improved enough (if anything it has been downgraded since last season as they lost both of their corners in Beltre and Branyan) and Figgins doesn’t impress me one bit. They added a cancer in the clubhouse in Bradley and Ichiro is a year older.
I can actually see this Mariners team coming in 3rd place behind the…
Texas Rangers.
The Texas Rangers have a sexy offense, and hey if Rich Harden can stay healthy and their young starters can improve upon their last seasons stats, they would have a respectable pitching staff. They upgraded their bullpen, they have a legitimate closer, and Neftali Feliz could do some great things this year. This is a team that scored a disgusting amount of runs last year and they just added Vlad to their DH spot. Vlad might not be the same hitter he once was, but the guy can still rake, especially if he’s protected by that nasty lineup, which becomes even more nasty if Josh Hamilton is healthy. If he’s not healthy and Harden winds up back on his other team (the DL), I still have to go with the…
Anaheim Angels in 1st place.

So they lost Lackey…but you might be forgetting that this is a team that barely even had Lackey last season. People are also forgetting that they didn’t have a full season of Scott Kazmir either. Their pitching is far too strong, and their offense is IMO better than it was last year with the addition of Matsui.
Anaheim Angels win the division and also win 93+ games.

This brings me to the AL Central, which imo is the toughest division to predict.
The Twins are a pesky team who always seem to pull it out at the last second. They have an above average pitching staff and an above average offense (and if they decide to add Jim Thome they might just be my favorites in this division).
If the White Sox ever want to make it back to the promised land they’re going too need to get rid of Ozzie Guillen. IMO, he is the dumbest manager in baseball and has consistently ruined some pretty good teams by doing dumb things. I could list the dumb things but I really don’t want to be here til all hours of the night posting on pinstripe alley. All you have to do is read some of the things that comes out of his mouth and you will know what I’m talking about. If they have a full season of a healthy Jake Peavy, that division should watch out, but again until Guillen is gone, and the offense is upgraded I just don’t see it.
The Tigers are another team that could honestly challenge in that division if everyone stays healthy and has good seasons. I never know what to do with the Tigers because their pitching and offense is so streaky. Losing Granderson should hurt them but to me it’s like that Lotto guy says, “hey you never know”.
As for the rest of the division….
The Royals are The Royals, and the Indians are years away from contention again.

My final AL predictions:
Yanks
Red Sox
Twins
Angels

which looks eerily similar to last years playoff teams.

Stay tuned for my NL predictions, which should be much spicier and shocking.

by Stephen K on Jan 26, 2010 7:46 PM EST reply actions  

ALSO, I'm going to go out on a serious limb here and say...

this Yankees team is going to win at least 110 games this season IF EVERYONE stays healthy.

Here are my reasons:
The Yanks won 103 games last season and they did it…
- without a full season from Alex Rodriguez
- with at least 15 TERRIBLE starts from an injured Wang and Mitre
- with a bullpen that was extremely shaky until Phil Hughes was called up and took the 8th inning role.

This year:
- We have upgraded our defense.
- We should have a full season of A-Rod
- We have an excellent starter in Vazquez taking the starts that Wang and Mitre bombed out on last year.
- We have a very similar offense on paper even without Johnny Damon (who may or may not sign) and if he does we have an even better offense on paper.
- Our bullpen should be better with a full healthy year of Marte, Robertson, and Hughes.
- Joba doesn’t have a stupid innings limit.

110 + wins
bank it.

by Stephen K on Jan 26, 2010 8:19 PM EST reply actions  

Interesting

How about the NL?

Writer for Pinstripe Alley.
"Today I consider myself the luckiest man on the face of this earth."
"So I close in saying that I may have had a tough break, but I have an awful lot to live for."

by Brandon C. on Jan 27, 2010 8:14 PM EST up reply actions  

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