Donnie Baseball: Inside the Numbers
Yesterday, brilliant reader david_d asked who was better than Don Mattingly from '84-'88?
One anwser comes from a Bill James stat called Win Shares, which is "a very complicated statistic that takes all the contributions a player makes toward his team’s wins and distills them into a single number that represents the number of wins contributed to the team, times three."
If you want the in-depth of the calculation, go here. But since WS are not freely available on the Internet, I'm going to make my case using other stats.
According to Joe Poz, the players who topped Mattingly in the span from '84-'88 were Wade Boggs and Tim Raines, with Mattingly on a level with Rickey Henderson and Tony Gwynn.
The Hitman had some laudable strengths. He hit for a high average, .332 over these years- better than Raines (.315) or Henderson (.293) but less than Boggs (.355) and Gwynn (.336). Mattingly knocked out an average of 206 hits a season with 73 extra-base hits. His 27 homers easily lead these All-Stars, and that got him a lot of extra attention. His 44 doubles are even more impressive when you consider that Mattingly didn't bring speed to the table. He was 5 for 12 in SB attempts over this span, only Wade Boggs (8 for 21) was worse. And the guys he's up against, were the best baserunners in baseball: Raines went an incredible 298 for 338 (88%), and Henderson was a tick less effective at 367 for 434 (85%).
That lack of speed factors in to his defensive position. In the depths of the '80s, it wouldn't have mattered to the Yankees if Mattingly was a mediocre 2B or 3B or RF instead of a 1B. But it matters when we evaluate Mattingly, because we understand the value of the various defensive positions. A guy who can play 1B is easier to find that a 3B, who in turn is easier to find that a CF. Unfortunately for Mattingly, he's looking up at Boggs and Raines. '84 was Raines last full season in center, after that he played left, which should bring him closer to Mattingly. But Boggs played a solid 3B the whole time. Mattingly may have been the best defensive 1B in the league, but the best 1B is still only a 1B.
The area Mattingly falls behind is in OBP. It gets to the heart of what may be fair or unfair about comparing eras- we look back with modern eyes. At the time, no one faulted Mattingly for only walking 48 times a season at his peak because he only struck out 35 times a year, and he could rake. If you want to give Mattingly the title of Most Appreciated Player of his era, you'll get no argument from me. I think the Hall of Fame voters should find a way to recognize players who excelled at what was important for the era.
But Mattingly's OBP is 20 points behind Gwynn, Henderson and Raines, and he's 75 points behind Wade Boggs. That's like replacing the bat of Bengie Molina with Shane Victorino. Simply put, Mattingly made more outs, and at a higher rate, than Boggs did. When you make three outs the inning is over, 27 and the game is over. Boggs and Mattingly were comparable hitters and fielders, but when it comes down to the most important thing, Mattingly was never the best player in baseball.
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Mattingly was never the best player in baseball.
“Mattingly was never the best player in baseball”… Don Mattingly won the 1985 AL MVP, thus making him the best player in AL for that year.
Best Player of 1985...
Willie McGee was the NL MVP. After comparing stats, I say that Mattingly was the better of the two league MVPs.
Mattingly Played more games, had more plate appearances, had more doubles, more HRs, more RBIs, more BBs, less SOs, higher OPS and SLG, more total bases, more Sac Flys, more IBBs, committed less errors, and had more put outs and assists.
Mattingly probably
should have been MVP in ’84 and ’86. He lost in ’84 to, get this, Willie Hernandez. Remember him? Relief pitcher for Detroit. He lost in ’86 to Clemens who had a great year, but again, Mattingly lost it to a pitcher, prompting Hank Aaron at the time to say only every day players should win the MVP.
Actually...
Rickey Henderson was a better MVP candidate in 1985 than Mattingly. They both had great numbers that year, respective to the kind of ballplayers they are. Also, 146 runs scored in a season is a heck of a lot more impressive than 145 RBIs. Henderson’s OPS was 934, only 5 less than Mattingly’s 939, and Henderson played a more demanding defensive position, center-field, and he played it very well that season.
Henderson was better than Mattingly in 1985.
Um, No
Dd you watch the Yankees in 1985? Mattingly was the MVP in 85, and should have won in 86 too.
by YankeesJets on Jan 17, 2010 12:02 AM EST up reply actions
Um, Yes....
…. do you think Mattingly would’ve had all those RBI’s without Henderson? And we all know that a high RBI total is one of the criteria that decides an MVP. Clemens was the rightful winner of the MVP award in 1986.
Also, yes, I was watching the Yankees in 1985 and in 1986. I was probably watching the Yankees while you were still in short pants.
If Clemens deserved 1986, then Ron Guidry should have been 1978 MVP.
I did a fanpost a while back about this very topic. Take a look over here. In short, Mattingly’s numbers in 1986 looked pretty compelling for being AL MVP. In fact, the numbers for Mattingly vs. Clemens (1986) and for Rice vs. Guidry (1978) look very similar… if anything, Guidry was more dominant in 1978 than Clemens was in 1986. But Guidry didn’t get the AL MVP. Take your pick, but if Clemens gets MVP in 1986, Guidry gets it in 1978… and if Rice was rightful 1978 MVP, then Mattingly should have been 1986 MVP.
Great point
And it is a logical conclusion. I’m on the side that the pitching “MVP” is the CY Award. So I think Rice deserved the MVP and Mattingly should have gotten it in ’86.
You're Right....
…. Guidry should’ve won the MVP in 1978. As for pitchers winning MVP awards…. well, we live in a world where they can and DO win them, so what we like or don’t like shouldn’t really come into play. You know, it would be nice if a player’s defense would be considered more in the MVP voting but it’s not taken into as much consideration as RBIs. If you go by the extant rules, a pitcher is allowed to win an MVP award. Guidry had an amazing season in 1978, at least as impressive as Rice’s season, which looked so much better back then when we knew less than we do now.
So your theory is that table setters should get MVPs over the guys that drive them in?
Henderson had a great season in 85, and was a viable candidate for MVP but Mattingly was and will forever be the AL MVP in 1985. Mattingly’s numbers look pedestrian compared to the numbers todays players put up but 145 RBIs still has to be considered pretty impressive. It kills me that so many are arguing against how great Mattingly was. This guy didnt have Jeters luck to play under the same manager most of his career. Look at the pitching the Yanks had in Mattingly’s prime, look at all the coaches and GMs this guy played under. And this guy played through a lot of back pain too. If Henderson was so valuable to the Yanks, why did they trade him away?
To Go On With This Discussion....
…. is kind of silly for me when a generalization, like the one you made in the title of your last post, is made. Thank you for showing your true knowledge, sir.
My true Knowledge
You are saying Henderson shouldve been MVP over Mattingly in 85. Isnt it tougher to drive guys in, than do get on base as a leadoff guy? Do Henderson or Randolph see those pitches without Mattingly or Winfield batting behind them? Why do guys that lead the league in RBIs usually make more than guys that lead the league in runs scored?
He was for that year
but the context of this article is over 5-year spans. So jscape’s closing statement is really saying “Mattingly was never the best player in baseball over any 5-year span.”
I'm a big Mattingly fan.
So I’m biased, and will admit as much.
Your analysis is very good as usual, jscape. Without exactly contradicting it I’d like to caution against the slippery slope that is looking at the past through a contemporary set of eyes. You recognize as much when you make mention of that risk in your article. But even you are susceptible… you’re correct in stating that Mattingly’s relatively low number of walks hurts his OBP… but emphasis on OBP is a more recent phenomenon. Who’s to say Mattingly wouldn’t have taken piles more walks if he’d been asked to do so? He was known to have exceptional discipline at the plate, hence his low strikeout totals.
I’m a big advocate of statistical analysis. That said, the stats tell us WHAT happened but they do not tell us WHY.
Did Mattingly not walk much because he was incapable of taking a walk? Or because he chose not to? Given his position in the heart of the Yankee batting order, with Henderson in front of him and often on base, Mattingly got paid to drive in runs. So that’s what he sought to do, and arguably he did so better than anybody else in baseball during 1984-88. The problem with OBP for a player like Mattingly is this: if he walked, will the hitters that follow him all be as proficient with OBP or run creation or any other offensive metric? If not, he’s essentially giving the other team a gift by largely muzzling his bat. His job wasn’t to get on base per se, it was to manufacture as many runs as he possibly could.
More on Mattingly
I remember reading about Mattingly’a vs. Boggs’ approach at the plate. Boggs purposely cut down on his swing to raise his batting average. Mattingly was looking more for solid contact, line drives into the alleys, with one leaving the park every so often. He was virtually impossible to pitch to in those years in that he was patient at the plate, could pull a ball, could drive it the other way, could punch a single through a hole, could drive with power into the gaps. And he was particularly clutch. Then to top that all off, he was an asset in the field! Not the liability most first basemen tend to be. He sometimes took fielding practice at 2B or SS and by all accounts was surprisingly competent.
The desirability of high OBP brings with it the assumption that your entire team is built with excellent balance top to bottom, with similarly high OBP throughout. Walk one guy, the next is just as likely to hurt you, and so on. The premise breaks down when a batting order features a few hitters whose abilites are far above those of the rest of the lineup… and it’s that latter scenario that was the norm even for the Yankees in those years. We’ve been spoiled with lineups like we’ve had in recent seasons.
As for that infamous Rice “most feared hitter” mantra? With Mattingly the label really applied. No pitcher wanted him at the plate with the game on the line.
My personal take on those hitters during those years was that Mattingly > Boggs because he added power to the mix while still hitting for high average and showing excellent plate discipline. Defensively, Boggs was regarded as a mediocre 3B while Mattingly was the best 1B in the league and quite possibly in all of baseball… so I looked on Mattingly as at least Boggs’ equal there, too, possibly better. Henderson and Raines were great but not the kind of clutch hitter one would rely on with a game on the line. You wanted them ON BASE at those critical moments, but you wanted Mattingly at the plate. As for Gwynn, I regarded him as possibly the most gifted hitter of all in terms of batting average, but again, no power. Same applies there… no pitcher would be delighted to see Gwynn at the plate at a critical moment, but those critical moments would often be 1-run games… with Mattingly, a pitcher started sweating bullets in situations where he had even a 2-run or 3-run lead. Advantage Mattingly.
The other hitters you cite were largely leadoff-style hitters, and in that era those type hitters were looking to get on base, hence the walks and the higher OBP. Guys like Mattingly were expected to drive them in, not to walk. Doesn’t mean Boggs couldn’t hit with more power, or that Mattingly couldn’t have walked a bunch more times, but that’s not what they did given their roles… and now what they actually did is all we have to go by. That’s why looking back through the lens of 2010 is a tricky business.
Excellent points.
I think some of the people on PA put all their marbles on WAR and other incomprehensible stats. I think jscape2000’s post actually backs up my opinion that Mattingly was the best player of that era…
No Manager Would've....
… asked Mattingly to try to draw more walks. The managers were smart enough to let Mattingly be Mattingly. Mattingly wasn’t a player, when in his prime, to take a lot of walks. Without looking it up, and relying on my memory, his highest amount of walks in a season was 61, and that was late in his career, which is a time when many players see an increase in walks because, to compensate for a loss of bat speed, a player will become more selective. This is a change that doesn’t last very long, and the player will eventually not be able to fight off the deterioration of his skills.
The reason Mattingly didn’t draw a lot of walks is because he wasn’t the type of player to do so. In that three-year stretch of 1984-1986 his OBP was in the mid- to high-.380s. That is a great OBP.
In 1986
Mattingly had an OBP of .394 to go along with a slugging percentage of .573 while striking out only 35 times in 742 plate appearances. That’s just scary good. And he didn’t win the MVP. (Those numbers exceed what he posted in his 1985 MVP-winning campaign.)
It’s interesting… our modern-day number crunchers tell us a single is somewhat more valuable than a walk. So taking two players with OBP near .400, seems to me the one taking fewer walks is the better player to have because he’s got more hits in his mix, hence more valuable. And OBP totally fails for measuring a hitter’s overall value because it fails to give additional credit for the hits that were more than just singles.
Agreed. So you can easily argue for Mattingly over Raines and Gwynn. They’re all in the .380-.410 range.
But there’s a 75 point spread between Mattingly and Boggs. Since OBP is a little more than 2x more valuable than SLG, I chose Boggs.
"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."
A single is more valuable than a walk.
A walk gets you on base, where a single can get someone home. If there is a runner on first they might be able to get to third. If there is a a runner on 2nd or 3rd they might score. Walks are great, but they depend on the people behind you driving you in. At some point someone needs to get the RBI.
Crowds are won and lost and won again, but our hearts beat for the diehards.
by Edwantsacracker on Jan 18, 2010 12:00 AM EST up reply actions
Boggs
Boggs was known as bad field, good hit on Sox, only became good defensively after he came to the Yankees years later and his hitting started to slow down. So placing Boggs (bad field, no homeruns) over Mattingly makes little sense to me, no offense.
There’s mean a lot of attention in recent years about the quality of the ground care at Fenway vs the rest of the league.
What that true then? That might explain Boggs’ change once he reached the Yankees.
"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."
Seems Contradictory
Seems odd to write an article based on hard statistical data, then float a really thin theory with no statistics backing it whatsoever, and no way ever to prove or disprove it in objective terms. Those two extremes just don’t mesh for me, sorry.
I’d be more inclined to go with Occam’s Razor in this case: that the simplest plausible explanation is most likely to be the correct one. In this case, the simplest theory would seem to be that Boggs worked on improving his fielding throughout his career, wasn’t very good in his early years but by the end of his career had become much better.
Second-simplest theory might be that Boggs’ fielding also had something to do with the fielders around him, since nobody truly fields in a vacuum.
I didn’t mean to suggest it as a fact- it was just a question.
I was born in ‘84, so I’m going on story and reputation. I’m relying on the observations of others.
"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."
That’s cool. I was just starting high school in 1984 and therefore was cursed to spend a big chunk of time where the Yankees didn’t make the playoffs even once, and by 1991 were at the bottom of the AL East… but was blessed in that I got to watch the Hit Man in his prime. He was awe-inspiring… you actually found yourself comparing him with people like Ruth, Gehrig, and DiMaggio, and having his name in that grouping didn’t feel the slightest bit odd. Sometimes you’d watch him and honestly could not imagine how he would ever make an out, he was that good.
I Became A Fan In 84 Because Of Mattingly
If you never saw Mattingly play during his prime years, dont try and downplay how good he was. Mattingly was a better player than Ripken or Puckett. Ripken was a decent player but his big claim to fame is playing everyday, even when it hurt the team. Mattingly didnt put himself above the team like Ripken, and Puckett is a Hall Of Famer with very similar numbers to Mattingly. Certain guys here just dont like Mattingly, which I dont understand. He has always been the consumate professional. You guys that loved Oneill or love Jeter now, ask those two players what Mattingly meant to their careers. Mattingly also didnt have that big crappy green wall like Boggs did either.
+10000000000
Agree with everything you said! And you said it a lot better than I could.
Some interesting tidbits that go a little beyond the stats themselves…
The players in the late 1990s dynasty (O’Neill, Jeter, etc.) looked up to Mattingly. They’ve said as much many, many times. Mattingly had a formative influence on those players. O’Neill in particular still refers to Mattingly as “Cap” (for Captain).
Mattingly was Tino Martinez’s biggest supporter when the latter came to New York to replace him… even went so far as to sell Tino his home in the area to make it easier for him to settle in.
Mattingly was Teixeira’s idol growing up… had a Mattingly poster in his bedroom, and the poster is still there (in his parents’ house) at Teixeira’s insistence. He used to wear a Yankee hat to ball games at Camden Yards when the Yankees would visit, because he was a Mattingly fan.
I agree that Mattingly was better than Ripken and Puckett offensively. He was not better than Raines, Henderson, or Boggs, though, and he should not make the hall of fame.
Those who brag about Mattingly are the ones who make Ichiro out to be an elite player. You see him batting .350+ and think he’s a superstar, but guess what? He doesn’t walk and doesn’t hit homeruns, all he does is hit a lot of singles. That does not get you as many runs as someone who hits for more extra base power and walks, like Jeter. He’s a great defensive player, and he’s above average offensively, but he’s not one of the league’s best hitters.
Ichiro
is the league’s best “hitter”. When you have the highest average, you’re the best hitter. Run production is different then just “hitting”. Jesus, this is getting absurd.
See, this is exactly what I’m saying, having the highest batting average does NOT make you the best hitter. The best hitter is the all around package: average, power, and patience at the plate. How could you possibly argue that a guy who hits .333 and averages 9 HR a year (Ichiro) is better than a guy who hits .305 and averages 41 HR a year (A-Rod)?
Run production is not different from “hitting.” What is the point of hitting? TO PRODUCE RUNS. Hitting a single will not net you as many runs as hitting a homerun. In fact, a homerun, on average, produces 2.2 times as many runs as hitting a single does. Taking a walk will net only slightly less runs than hitting a single. So a guy who hits a bunch of singles but doesn’t walk and doesn’t hit for power will never be the league’s best hitter. That would be Pujols right now anyway.
I agree
about your take on hitting, though I also understand where david d is coming from. It all depends how one frames the argument as to what a “best hitter” should be.
Mattingly 1984-1986 in particular WAS the complete package. That’s what made him more valuable in those years than Boggs, Gwynn, Raines, and yes, even Henderson.
I followed those seasons directly and used to have arguments with my friends about whether Boggs or Mattingly was the best hitter in the AL. My argument at that time was that Mattingly was close enough to Boggs in AVG but laid Boggs to waste in 2B, HR, and RBI. I even learned about Bill James’ Total Runs Created calculation and used it as the basis for my own calculation, which I never named… lets call it DOORKNOB for context of this post… where a DOORKNOB of 1.0 or higher meant a player was elite level. If memory serves, the calculation had maybe 10-15 AL hitters in the 1.0+ range, with Boggs around 1.1-1.2 and Mattingly around 1.2-1.3.
Incidentally, Henderson in those years was flat-out great. But a part of his greatness came from Mattingly hitting behind him… Mattingly is a big reason for Henderson scoring 145 runs in 1985, for example. Henderson and Mattingly had a synergistic effect, made each other better.
Maybe if you said Ichiro
was the best contact hitter in baseball it would satisfy everyone. He sure is good at getting the bat on the ball and then running it out.
Crowds are won and lost and won again, but our hearts beat for the diehards.
by Edwantsacracker on Jan 18, 2010 12:01 AM EST up reply actions
Thank God All These Useless Stats Werent Used In 1985
Otherwise Mattingly wouldnt have won the MVP. Sure 1B are a dime a dozen but being arguably the best to ever field the position has to count for something. If it didnt, DH’s would be in the Hall and maybe Ortiz wouldve beat ARod for the MVP a few years ago. I’ll admit some bias here but if you asked any GM in the years 1985-1988 which position player they would want to start a team, Mattingly would be the answer. Boggs was a great hitter, but Mattingly hit more power, was a better fielder and meant more to his team. Plus another non stat that matters is how a player carrys himself off the field. Mattingly had so much respect from the writers, they never blew the whistle on his wifes problems which is the biggest reason he left the game. It only came out recently, but it has been going on a long time. I know from a very credible source.
HAHAHA, the following stats were used in this article
Batting Average
Stolen Bases
On Base Percentage.
And please if a Gm was asked to build a team in 1985 I would be very surprised if anybody didn’t pick Cal Ripken Jr. first. I know I would and it wouldn’t even be close.
Strikeouts are boring- Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.
by CasanovaWong on Jan 15, 2010 2:36 PM EST up reply actions
Heck, I'd probably take Kirby Puckett over Donnie Baseball too.
Strikeouts are boring- Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.
by CasanovaWong on Jan 15, 2010 2:41 PM EST up reply actions
Thats because you are a kid
You didnt get to see Mattingly play everyday like I did. Some of you guys devalue 1B, but I seem to remember you guys drooling all over Teixeira’s defense this year after living through the Giambi Error, oops, I mean Era. How many errors did Tex save this year? How many runs does that prevent from scoring? Let me clue you in on something, Tex couldnt carry Mattingly’s glove. Kirby Puckett over Mattingly? You have lost any credibility you ever might have had.
by YankeesJets on Jan 16, 2010 12:44 AM EST up reply actions
Dude, look at the numbers. I don’t have to have watched Babe Ruth play to know he was the greatest hitter of all time, his numbers speak for themselves. The facts are this: Mattingly had 4 great years from ‘84-’87 where he was 55% better than the average player. Outside of those years he was just slightly above an average hitter, at 10% better.
We’re not arguing over whether he was good or not, he was a fine player. We’re arguing over whether he was the best of his time and worthy of the Hall of Fame, and your anecdotes of watching him play do not trump the hard numbers. He may have been the best defensive first baseman of all time and the nicest guy in the history of the world, but he didn’t perform at a high level for a long enough time with his bat to be in the Hall.
And how many runs do you think
a very good shortstop and center fielder save over the course of a year?
More than a 1b.
Strikeouts are boring- Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.
by CasanovaWong on Jan 16, 2010 10:58 AM EST up reply actions
Mattingly/ Boggs
Thank god there were no SABR statistics in those days; I watched a ton of games on free tv (remember that?) saw quite a few at the ballpark (rememeber when you could afford a ticket?) and I go by what I saw on the field.
Boggs was a mediocre fielder when he came up, but he improved steadily- by the time he left the Red Sox he was already quite good. Imagining that he didn’t become a plus fielder until he got to New York is just that- imagining. Boggs was also someone you didn’t want to face with runners on base, because he hit as well with men on base as anyone, he just hit fewer homers. He had plenty of power- his homeruns that I recall were not cheap shots- many carried over the bullpens in right field at Fenway, which is over 400 feet. (The fence is a constant 380’ away, although only 4 feet high).
The first time I ever saw Mattingly play was in Pawtucket in 1981 when Columbus came to play the Pawtucket Red Sox, and I wanted see a prospect named Steve Balboni. I came away more impressed with Mattingly, who hit two home runs and threw from deep right field on the fly to home plate. People forget that Mattingly came up as a right fielder, with a right fielder’s arm- the Yanks put him at first out of desperation. They went through a number of crappy first basemen after Chris Chambliss retired.
I don’t know if either of them was the best player in baseball, but they were certainly the top 3 all around in the American League during their primes. If Mattingly hadn’t had the back problems and been able to put up 3 more seasons of 300+, 20hr+, 100rbi we wouldn’t be having this conversation.
by designatedquitter on Jan 15, 2010 2:36 PM EST reply actions
Ripken? Puckett?
I don’t think so. Take away Ripken’s consecutive game streak and he’s Graig Nettles at best. Excellent defense, respectable power, but someone you could get out in the clutch. Kirby Puckett was a very nice player, but not someone you would be afraid to pitch to with runners on base. Kent Hrbek when he was hot was by far the biggest threat and best all- around Twin during the 80s.
by designatedquitter on Jan 15, 2010 2:47 PM EST reply actions
Except Donnie was a 1b and
Ripken and Puckett were Gold Glovers at the two most important defensive positions on the diamond. Donnie was a better pure hitter but in terms of overall value they would be rated much much higher.
Strikeouts are boring- Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.
by CasanovaWong on Jan 15, 2010 3:01 PM EST up reply actions
Puckett himself
coined the name, “Donnie Baseball” based on his regard for Mattingly’s all-around game. And in the book “Men At Work,” Ripken named Mattingly as the everyday player (meaning non-pitcher) he most admired.
That’s some pretty high praise from both guys you just mentioned.
Oh most definitely. Some of the most consummate professionals
to ever play the game.
Strikeouts are boring- Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.
by CasanovaWong on Jan 15, 2010 3:07 PM EST up reply actions
First Base?
Mattingly won 9 Gold Gloves over his career… Ripken won 2, Puckett won 6. Only to other positions on the field handle the ball more than a 1st baseman… the catcher and the pitcher.
stats from '84-'88
Rickey Henderson wRC+ = 159.2
Wade Boggs wRC+ = 159
Tim Raines wRC+ = 153
Don Mattingly wRC+ = 150
Mattingly was not the best hitter of that time period. He wasn’t the best hitter in 1985. We all know that the most deserving player doesn’t always win the MVP. Rickey Henderson in 1985 had a wRC+ of 180. Mattingly was 156. For those of you who don’t know what wRC+ is, it’s a measure of a hitter against league average for that year, based on wOBA, and I believe it’s adjusted for parks. That means that Mattingly was 56% better than an average player, but Henderson was 80% better.
The fact that people overvalued AVG and far undervalued OBP in those times does not mean they were right for the time. We now know things like hitting a single is only slightly better than taking a walk, and with our more accurate understanding of what’s valuable we can look back and reanalyze players from the past to see if they really were as good as we thought they were. Sometimes we get surprised by our findings.
The fact is this:
Mattingly in his career was a 28% better than average hitter over 14 years.
Wade Boggs was 35% above average over 18 years.
Tim Raines was 37% above average over 23 years.
Rickey Henderson was 45% above average over 25 years.
Mattingly was not good enough and didn’t play long enough to get into the Hall of Fame. Tim Raines is much more deserving.
Don't get too hung up on numbers, especially not offense only.
Look, I’m an engineer. My degree is in computer science. I like numbers as much as the next guy! They tell us a lot. But don’t be a slave to them as there are limits to what the numbers alone can tells us… especially when looking at only one aspect of the player. The numbers are a very important part of the equation, just not the only part. We all need to be a little humble in how much we think we know. (True of life in general.)
baseball is a game of numbers. The numbers say that Mattingly was not as good as Henderson, Raines, or Boggs offensively.
Where he does deserve credit was his clutch performance. Over his career, he averaged a clutch rating of .215, while Boggs was at 0, and Henderson was at .196. Raines still beats him here, though, at a rating of .26. So Raines has better numbers for a longer time, was more clutch, and played a more important defensive position. It’s a no brainer that he’s more deserving to be a hall of famer.
Baseball is a game of hitting, pitching, running, and catching.
The numbers attempt to track these things and can never do so perfectly. They can help us see some things that aren’t immediately apparent to the eye… at their best they help us make better decisions. At worst they lull us into a false sense of security.
Otherwise we should play the games in a simulator, not out on a real baseball field.
We're not talking about
being a Hall-of-Famer. This whole debate is about who was the best during the span from 1984 to 1988.
You're comparing apples and oranges
The other players mentioned, all great, were OBP guys, run scorers. For all-around numbers, I’m going with Mattingly. When you lead the league in hits, (‘84/’86), score 100+ runs on avg, lead in RBI, (‘85) and win a batting title (’84), set the records he set in ‘87, etc, I’m a Mattingly guy. But, that’s just me. I’m enjoying the comments anyway…
so is Ichiro the best hitter of our time? He leads the league in hits and AVG and scores tuns of runs every year. He even set the record for hits in a season. The answer: NO.
Ichiro
I don’t know if Ichiro is the best hitter of our time, but he is one of the best. Lifetime .333 average? More than 200 hits for eight years in a row? As you mentioned, he broke George Sisler’s record for most hits in a season, a record which stood for 80 years. “Just” singles? Other people don’t do what he does because they can’t. He reminds me most of Rod Carew, whose lifetime average was .328, who hit only 112 HRs in 19 years, and who is in the Hall of Fame.
The best hitter of our time is probably Albert Pujols, who has an equivalent lifetime .334 average and outstanding power as well.
Mickey C
This is getting kind of silly
There is obviously nothing better than watching a game live, whether it’s at the stadium or on TV. But the problem is that I’m only one human, with one set of eyes and a limited budget, and and there are 30 teams and 750 players in the major leagues playing in 3 different time zones all over the county. I cannot watch every player frequently enough to make any meaningful judgments about them. I can’t go by “what I saw on the field”.
Hence, we have statistics.
I don’t want this to sound mean-spirited, but the backlash and animosity towards the new generation of baseball statistics (WARP, VORP, Win Shares, etc.) is rooted in the same attitude that keeps my 79 year-old grandfather from buying a computer or using a cell phone. He may have lived this long and gotten this far without them, but that doesn’t mean that handwriting a letter and driving it down to the post office is the most effective way to communicate with somebody in 2010.
Statistics like WARP, VORP allow you to objectively compare players while adjusting for different positions and different skill sets at the plate in a way that Batting Average, RBI, or Runs do not. These stats aren’t going to replace the barstool debate any time soon, and they really shouldn’t, because it’s fun to talk about baseball in completely non-objective terms sometimes. After all Derek Jeter is awesome, David Ortiz does suck, and Curt Schilling is a fat loudmouth and a horrible blogger.
But you have to come back to objectivity sometimes, and objectively speaking, Mattingly played 13 full seasons, and was a great player for 4, a good one for 5, and, strictly in terms of on-field performance, a forgettable one for 4. The prime of his career coincided the prime of Rickey Henderson, and so In terms of WARP, he was only the best position player on his team twice. He obviously benefited from playing a power position and playing in New York, but his reputation has grown to exceed his actual performance. You could argue that he was one of the five best position players in baseball from 1984-1986, but you’d be arguing for the fourth or fifth spot on that list, not the first.
No statistic is religion.
And that’s coming from an engineer. Which statistic is definitive? Who decided that? What’s the objective proof that a particular statistic trumps all, and where’s the objective proof that no as-yet-undiscovered statistical measure will render this year’s trendy statistics obsolete? Be a little careful what you consider objective because even what we think is objective, usually isn’t, and it’s hubris to insist otherwise.
Reminds me of something I uncovered in a book about music some time back. The book published critics’ ratings of the greatest classical music composer of all time. The results were tabulated by groupings of decades: 1940, 1950, 1960, etc. For a couple decades, all agreed Beethoven was the greatest composer ever. Then for a few decades, they all agreed it was Mozart. Then they all agreed it was Bach. And so on. Funny thing is that none of those composers have written anything in a very long time, say, hundreds of years. The source data never changed.
It’s also a big mistake to discount subective observations. Just because they don’t cleanly drop into a database doesn’t make them wrong. (And yes, I do know a thing or two about databases since I’ve made a career out of building them.) And just because some statistic is new doesn’t make it the best way to evaluate things. They’re highly useful tools! No argument there. But the last word they ain’t. Believe that at your peril.
Old statistics:
Batting average – a decent measure of how often a player reaches base, but not a perfect measure, because it doesn’t account for walks or HBP. Robinson Cano batted something like 80 points higher than Nick Swisher last season, but Nick Swisher got on base (via a hit, walk, or HBP) at a higher rate.
RBI – a decent measure of how good a hitter is at driving in runs. 100 RBI is viewed as “good” even though it does not account for how many men were on base when the hitter came to the plate or what percentage of of baserunners he actually drove in.
Runs Scored – a decent measure of a player’s baserunning and on-base abilities, but nobody can steal second, third, and home every time. Runs scored is partially dependent on having a following hitter drive you.
So, there are some of the shortcomings with the traditional statistics. WARP, VORP, and Win Shares likely have shortcomings too, but I doubt they’re as big as the stats mentioned above. I want somebody to give me a good reason why they don’t like those stats, other than the fact that they’re new.
If you’re looking for a good reason not to use your stats of choice, you won’t get it from me. But likewise you’ll have an uphill battle telling me or anyone else we must use your particular stats of choice. They’re tools. So are the primary statistics such as runs, RBI, HR, etc. Your choice is no more definitive than a socket wrench is better than a vise grip at tightening a nut: there’s more than one way to do it, and certain individuals will prefer certain tools. Knowing how to apply the tools is a whole lot more important than the tools themselves.
May I ask, why are the SABR folks so intolerant of any other way of looking at something? My understanding was that SABR folks were pretty much dissed for a long time before being taken seriously. Given that sort of history, why would do so many of the SABR enthusiasts I come across want to piss all over anybody who doesn’t buy into their particular view of the world?
I have found this to be true on these boards
How do some of these guys even enjoy the game? It seems like they are disecting every little thing about the game. Next there will be a stat that tells me that Cano hits better when he has a dumb smirk on his face, or Steve Balboni hit better on Tuesday when he scratched his left nut, but better on Thursday when he scratched the right one. I know when I watch the game I’m not saying “Come on Mo, close them out, Swisher needs his WAR to go up”.
by YankeesJets on Jan 16, 2010 12:50 AM EST up reply actions
Well, Mo’s performance doesn’t affect WAR.
And I rarely think about any stats, from ABs to UZR, until the game is over. My love of stats has never interfered with my love of baseball.
But the trouble is that most baseball analysis has always been entirely subjective- I “see” that Mattingly is the best player in baseball.
And most analysis remains about “seeing”. Except for a few writers (Joe Poz and Keith Law spring immediately to mind), most writers will spend most of their time talking about chemistry and clutch, gut and grittiness.
If it seems likes the SABR folks are dismissive of traditional analysis, it’s because we’ve been so inundated by it all our lives (Joe Morgan) that we still feel insulted and dismissed. It’s fine to dislike of WARP3 because you don’t think the position adjustments give the 1B enough credit for scooping, or because you think a centerfielder is more important defensively than a SS.
But please don’t dismiss the new stats just because they’re new.
"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."
J, Did you watch Mattingly during his prime?
Not picking a fight or anything like that. I am not a huge Jeter guy by no means but I know all those stats that say he is a terrible SS just make me hate those stats even more. Say 20 years from now, a kid tells you he started watching baseball in 2020(Jeter will be retired by then) and he tells you “I know you were a big Jeter fan, but he really stunk in the field”, whats going to be your answer? I dont hate something because it’s new, I hate it because its useless. You really think that a GM is going to sign a player because his WAR is better even if the other guy has superior old school stats(HRs,Hits,RBIs)?
I know you're asking Jscape
and I’m too young to have seen Mattingly in his prime, and I am a big fan of Jeter, but if someone were to say to me, “Derek Jeter was bad in the field, here is his negative UZR.” I would say this…
Derek Jeter was a great baseball player and a great Yankee. He was lifted up ridiculously high by the media because he’s the prince of New York, he bangs hot broads, and he’s classy. Defense was the weakest part of his game, but you would never know that, because if you flip to ESPN, they’re probably playing a highlight of a Jeter jump throw right now.
Also, this will probably contradict my entire argument on this page, but UZR is a terrible stat.
This sticker is dangerous and inconvenient, but I do love Fig Newtons.
I think that
Jeter’s real weakness is his defense. And that shows up in Zone Ratings most of all. I saw a stat once that showed that Jeter is one of the best in the game when he can put a glove on it. But he is slow to his side and often does not get a glove on it. That makes his zone rating look very bad. I also think that the current defensive stats are bad because of where they divide zones.
Looking at A-Rod there I think there were years when he was near last fielding in his own zone, but got the most out of zone. This was back when A-Rod first switched position and was playing a very deep 3rd base. He was covering a lot of ground partly protecting Jeter’s right side. That allowed Jeter and the 2nd basemen to play slightly out of position to make up for Giambi’s weak defense.
Looking at last year, A-Rod plays more like a traditional 3rd baseman, Teix defense puts Cano and Jeter into more typical positions. But the fact that there are “typical positions” and the fielders aren’t always in them means that these metrics are still flawed.
Crowds are won and lost and won again, but our hearts beat for the diehards.
by Edwantsacracker on Jan 16, 2010 9:35 AM EST up reply actions
But they are much better than counting errors.
Crowds are won and lost and won again, but our hearts beat for the diehards.
by Edwantsacracker on Jan 16, 2010 9:35 AM EST up reply actions
I’d never take offense, don’t worry. :)
No, (I think I said this elsewhere in this long thread) I was born in ’84, so my first real baseball memories are the strike and the Ken Griffey Jr. running around the bases in ’95.
I understand your thinking, but some GMs do may more attention to the new stats (and their scouts) than to HR, H, or RBI. Oversimplifying- by paying attention to WHIP (baserunners per inning) rather than Wins and ERA led the Yankees to conclude that John Lackey wasn’t worth a long term commitment.
No statistics are perfect. I scored high on my SAT- that doesn’t mean I’m smart, it means I did well on my SAT. Somewhere between the numbers and scouting is reality.
I’m trying to look at Mattingly from as many angles as I can so that I can understand what kind of player he was, even though I never saw him at his best.
"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."
I understand where you are coming from
I wish you had a chance to see Mattingly in his prime. I guarantee he would be your favorite Yankee if you did. Griffey running around the bases in that 95 playoff series caused me to throw the tv I was watching across the room. It wasnt a very big TV, I was really pissed though.
by YankeesJets on Jan 17, 2010 12:06 AM EST up reply actions
Game 7 of the '95 ALDS made me sick.
Felt like the Yankees had gone through such a long dry spell, had fallen all the way into the cellar in the AL East, had finally built themselves back into a good team… IMHO they would have won the WS in 1994 if the strike hadn’t happened… they battled through the ’95 ALDS, won games 1 and 2 in dramatic fashion, suffered through games 3 and 4 but were about to put Seattle away in game 5… then Ken Griffey Jr. and Edgar Martinez happened. Ugh. :-(
A lot of the reason I felt terrible was that Mattingly wouldn’t get to play in a World Series. It really bothered me. I know that doesn’t make rational sense, it’s not like I knew him personally, but for a whole lot of us he WAS the Yankees through that era. You wanted a whole team of Mattinglys, and not just for what he did on the field. He was a hard worker, honest, respectful of the game, and by all accounts a great human being, too. A whole lot of people felt for him.
Did that bias some people in his favor? Maybe. But he was a heck of a ball player, which his 1984-88 numbers do show, though they don’t paint the whole picture. In the same way as the stats don’t really capture the greatness of Jeter, likewise they don’t capture the essence of Don Mattingly.
For Jeter, you have to see that full-speed dive into the stands to make a catch, or the “flip” play against Oakland, or the ways he almost wills himself to make something happen in an important at-bat, or any number of comparable happenings, to begin to understand what he’s all about as a player.
With Mattingly it was the unbelievable grabs at 1B, even ranging far into RF to make an impossible catch over his shoulder; or how easily he turned the 3-6-3 or 3-4-3 double play (a specialty of his); or going 4-5 on the final day of the 1984 season to take the batting title; or resurrecting himself to hit .414 with 1.148 OPS in his first and only playoff appearance, despite batting against Randy Johnson in 2 of those games. It’s that and a whole lot more.
That’s why people love Mattingly. If you didn’t see him play, you really missed something.
In another 10 years or so you’ll find yourself staking out the same territory in support of Jeter to a bunch of more recent Yankee fans who didn’t get a chance to see him play every day as you have. Not sure if that helps you understand, but maybe it’s a start.
YankeesJets is right, there’s a good chance Mattingly would be your favorite Yankee if you’d seen him playing in his prime.
I agree he'd probably have been my favorite
As it is, Jeter is probably my favorite player.
That doesn’t make me blind to his flaws and limitations (lack of power relative to the era, poor range on groundballs).
Mattingly was certainly among the best players over that stretch- if you held a draft of position players he certainly would have been chosen in the first few picks.
"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."
Even then I could have told you
Mattingly was a slow runner. It was pretty obvious. Given the lack of speed his baserunning was curiously good. The fielding range issue, if any, wasn’t apparent in watching him. To the contrary, he made plays that left you wondering how he even had any business being close enough to the ball in the first place. Maybe it was his positioning? Or that the defensive side of our statistical arsenal is still pretty flawed? I don’t know. But apparently somebody thought he was a good defender, as his 9 Gold Gloves attest.
As for the power, yes, there were some guys around with more power. But those sluggers typically had their own issues in batting average, high strikeout rates, defensive liability, etc. You liked Mattingly in that he brought a great package to the plate, combining an excellent contact hitter with a guy who could drive the ball out of the park. That was, and is, a rare combination.
I think Jscape was pointing out Jeters flaws
not Mattingly’s.
Crowds are won and lost and won again, but our hearts beat for the diehards.
by Edwantsacracker on Jan 18, 2010 12:05 AM EST up reply actions
None of us say that either
but when you’re asked about which player you think is better, or which player deserves to get into the hall of fame, we like to have a better argument than “well, son, back in the day when I saw him play the game the right way, unlike you young whippersnappers, he really did put on a fine show.”
This sticker is dangerous and inconvenient, but I do love Fig Newtons.
Do you think WAR is keeping anybody out of the Hall or putting them in?
Remember putting basball cards in small plastic protective sleeves? If you guys got your way, I would need an extra closet in the house for the new cards with all these extra meaningless stats. When I open up the newspaper or even go to ESPN.com and look at stats, I just dont see all this nonsense. Its not like I am 60 years old either, I’m 34 and I guess I am now considered old school. How many guys wouldve never been given a chance if GM’s and scouts went strictly by WAR and UZR and all this other stuff?
Well scouts and GMs do use sabermetrics
and if my interpretation of your post is correct, you object to the “volume” of the statistics as opposed to the statistics themselves. To which I would respond, “dude, there really aren’t that many.”
I mean if I made up stats that were “bubbles blown”, “jockstrap adjusts/9 innings” I could understand your frustration, but most of them are pretty useful in evaluating talent.
The thing about baseball is that there is a ton of nuances and strange things that happen. You can get totally fooled by a pitch, nub it off the end of the bat, and end up with a single. You can also hit the ball on the screws, and hit it straight into the left fielders glove.
Because of things like that, having comparative stats helps you to back up the fact that one player is getting lucky hits, or getting screwed over, or whatever.
The only stat that really matters is wins and losses, but in the offseason when we really have nothing else to do, what does it hurt to waste some time trying to get a deeper understanding of the game?
This sticker is dangerous and inconvenient, but I do love Fig Newtons.
Im Not Arguing That These Stats Dont Help GMs
But they really have no place on a blog, a message board or a baseball card. Especially when these stats are being used to belittle the stats of an all time Yankee great by kids that never saw him play. I dont mind statisticians coming up with new theories to evaluate players in the future, but unless there is a future GM posting here, lets leave it to the real front office guys.
Everyone wanting to understand things like
a GM isn’t new or related to high tech stats. Every person who calls into a talk radio show with a trade proposal or saying the Yankees/Mets/Dodgers/Whoever NEED to sign this guy. Sometimes I see and hear proposals and think wow those guys are really stupid. So why not try to back up your argument. These stats we are using aren’t perfect, just use the ones you are comfortable with and make your argument.
But don’t be surprised if what spend a lot of time trying to articulate has a stat that describes exactly what you said (to someone who understands it).
Crowds are won and lost and won again, but our hearts beat for the diehards.
by Edwantsacracker on Jan 16, 2010 9:42 AM EST up reply actions
Ever hear of Tom Tango?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Tango
He was a regular guy like you and I that crunched numbers and created discussions on blogs. A lot of people thought his then new, uncoventional ideas were nuts. Now he works for the Mariners.
Before he made a name for himself with SABR, I knew him from an online poker forum where he frequently posted in strategy discussions. There is also a sports sub-forum there.
Nate Silver was also a regular poster on that site.
by Scooby Snacks on Jan 17, 2010 3:52 AM EST up reply actions
Some stats are bogus
but at this point in time folks can’t see it. Consider how you will look past batting average and instead focus on things like OBP or maybe even wOBP and other derivatives… well, for a lot of years batting average was the single most important stat used to evaluating hitting ability. Now we know batting average has its flaws.
Which of the current crop of stats will similarly be on the scrap heap in another decade or so? Chances are it will be something. But whatever it is, right now people take it seriously.
That’s why I keep preaching not to get completely wrapped up in all the stats. Are they useful? Are they generally beneficial? Do they help offer a more complete understanding of baseball and even lend some objectivity to a debate? A hearty YES to all the above.
Just never allow yourself to believe the stats are giving you all the answers. Don’t even believe all the stats you have today are accurate, because I assure you they’re not.
Likewise, don’t belittle someone else when their only sin was not having a bunch of ready-made SABR stats to back their post.
At least we all can agree that Joe Morgan seems to be an idiot.
But According To Your New Stats
Jeter is not awesome, he is the worst defensive SS in the game. Everybody that WATCHES baseball will tell you this is not true, that Jeter plays good defense. This is where these new stats fail, when Jeter is retired and a kid looks up his UZR, he will say Jeter was a great hitter but he was a terrible SS. This is the same as what you guys are doing with Mattingly. You didnt watch him in his prime, so you dont know how special he was. I’m sure if we worked at enough, we could come up with a stat that would make Cody Ransom the best player in baseball. Just remember stats never tell the whole story.
CHALLENGE- construct a stat that tells you
that Cody Ransom is the best player in baseball.
Crowds are won and lost and won again, but our hearts beat for the diehards.
by Edwantsacracker on Jan 16, 2010 9:44 AM EST up reply actions
Well we all know what he was doing to stay on the team so long
so can it be Girardi’s blown per 9 innings?
This sticker is dangerous and inconvenient, but I do love Fig Newtons.
by Lord Duggan on Jan 16, 2010 10:40 AM EST up reply actions
Ahhh the intangibles of team chemistry...
Crowds are won and lost and won again, but our hearts beat for the diehards.
by Edwantsacracker on Jan 16, 2010 11:26 AM EST up reply actions
i just find it really hard to believe how under valued some people think mattingly was. he was the best in baseball at one point(won mvp in 85). he was feared at the plate and great at fielding. he has great numbers and best of all he didnt “juice” ! if he did maybe the back problems wouldnt have happened and we wouldnt be having this conversation.in my eyes mattingly was phenominal(i had a mattingly shrine as a kid)and he should definitely be in the HOF!
I’d like to see Mattingly in the HOF. Don’t know what will happen of course, but I think there’s a good case to be made. I honestly don’t know why some people feel so compelled to slam him. He was a tremendous player and yes, at his peak he dominated the game.
There Was More To It Than Mattingly's Back
Someone I know that knew the Mattingly’s very well, (I can confirm it because she introduced me to Mattingly at a Rays game back in 05), told me he left the game because of his wife Kim having a substance abuse problem. Now this was in 05 before it came out while he was with the Dodgers. The NY writers had to know, but Mattingly was so well respected they left it alone for all those years. If you didnt watch baseball during Mattingly’s prime, please dont knock the guy based on stat comparisons because you dont know what you are talking about. It is the same thing as when they say based on stats that Jeter is the worst SS in the majors. We all know it’s not true.
by YankeesJets on Jan 16, 2010 12:56 AM EST up reply actions
good career and great guy
mattingly’s numbers were never staggering, but they were great for about a 5 year period. Its too bad he got injured. Also, being an honest hardworking player wont get him into the hall of fame. He was my hero growing up and still is today. Donnie Baseball!
What's sad
is how so many of you only see these “advanced stats”. Do any of you actually enjoy baseball? Or is it only about these obscure numbers? You guys need to stick to your fantasy leagues where the things in baseball that are important to you matter. I don’t know how some of you even enjoy the game…
So because people think stats have merit in evaluating talent
they won’t enjoy watching a baseball game?
I’m gunna need an explanation here.
This sticker is dangerous and inconvenient, but I do love Fig Newtons.
My comment
is based on the arguments posted by some of the readers. If you think a player is great or not great based on some of these stats that aren’t really stats I can only wonder if you can go to a game and enjoy a truly great player if in your mind his WAR or UZR or LSD isn’t up to some geek statistician’s standards.
I don't presume to speak for all pro-stat PA participants
but while the game is on, I don’t care about stats at all. I care about the Yankees scoring more runs than the other team.
Between games and especially between seasons, thinking about personnel decisions, roster moves, lineups, etc., it helps to have the best data that you can.
Nobody goes to a game and watches to see if Swisher can increase his WAR by 0.1 points.
This sticker is dangerous and inconvenient, but I do love Fig Newtons.
I'm just mad I have to leave my motehrs basement to go watch a game.
Strikeouts are boring- Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.
by CasanovaWong on Jan 16, 2010 4:21 PM EST up reply actions
Dude
With MLB.tv you can watch games from the basement while your spreadsheets print.
"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."
Mattingly Stacks Up Pretty Well
Just took a look at some numbers over at baseball-reference for Mattingly vs. some of the other players mentioned in this thread for 1984-88 performance. Gotta say, Mattingly comes away looking VERY good against that peer group.
I did a fanpost on what I found… take a look over here.
Here’s average OPS+ for the five year period 1984-88 for the players in question…
Boggs: 154.2
Mattingly: 149.4
Raines: 140.6
Henderson: 139.2
Gwynn: 135.8
Ripken: 125.0
Puckett: 119.2
Basically, Boggs and Mattingly were in a class of their own during the 1984-88 seasons. Boggs held the edge over Mattingly for average OPS+ but Mattingly was the more consistent performer during those seasons… less streaky from year to year. (Yes, the fanpost has stats to support that.)
As a bonus, I was surprised to find Mattingly’s career OPS+ holds up well against the other players, all of whom are in the Hall of Fame or probably will be soon.
Most importantly for me, the numbers support what I saw when watching Mattingly play every day during those seasons, which is always nice.
If you have a moment, go over and have a read. I put a lot of time into looking up the data. :-)
Good stuff. More comments over there.
"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."
Whether I agree with some of the things posted or not
Great job J, writing something in January that stirred up this much passion in Yankees fans.
























