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Jobanalysis


On the game yesterday, Kay and Cone mentioned the discrepancy between Joba Chamberlain's home and road numbers a few times. They were mostly focusing on his inability to get a win at home, but as it turns out the contrast in his performance as a whole is pretty stark.

At home: 8 starts, 38.1 IP, 0-2, 5.17 ERA, 1.64 WHIP, 40 K's, 24 walks
On the Road: 7 starts, 42.2 IP, 4-0, 2.74 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 33 K's, 16 walks.

So on the road you have a fairly dominant pitcher, averaging over 6 innings per start. At home you have a guy with a high ERA that averages less than 5 innings per start. Kay and Cone speculated that Joba may be nervous pitching in front of the home crowd, but I think there's a much better explanation here. It seems like Joba is bat shy at the stadium while he pitches a lot more to contact on the road. This is shown by his elevated K and BB rates at home. The job for Girardi and Eiland now has to be to convince Joba that the ball isn't traveling at Yankee Stadium like it was in April and that every fly ball he gives up isn't going to go out. On the bright side, I think these numbers imply that if he starts pitching agressively at home, Joba can be a top of the rotation starter this year even if he doesn't regain the 98 mph heat.

0 recs  |  Comment 7 comments

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Joba's gonna be inconsistent

I can’t stand outings like yesterday, but that’s what happens with rookies.

There’s a ton of things he’s doing wrong, like nibbling when he gets ahead. And if he’s gonna throw a breaking ball when he’s behind, you don’t bounce it, it has to be in the zone.

The way he’s pitched this season, its rare for him to go out there and stink 3 times in a row. So hopefully he keeps that up and has a good outing next time out.

He needs to get a few outings where he gets stretched out too. 100 pitches should NOT be his limit now. I mean if he’s in there for 8 runs obviously take him out. But if he’s got 100 pitches through 6 or something like that , bring him back out.

One thing about his delivery is he doesn’t seem to be in rhythm either in the stretch or windup. They need to fix that up.

by FreeBradshaw on Jul 6, 2009 8:40 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

it'll be tough to convince

Joba that balls aren’t flying when it happened twice yesterday. both Toronto HR probably would’ve been outs in most other parks.

by Travis G on Jul 6, 2009 10:50 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Not quite...

…they would have been bullet doubles to the gap.

by New York Sports Jerk on Jul 6, 2009 11:15 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

unrelated topic...

…one of his biggest problem is there is no chemistry between him and Jorge…BUT lets forget about that right now…Can someone tell me why Ransom is still haunting us at third base??

by Joe G. Blows on Jul 6, 2009 11:23 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I think OP pretty much nailed it on the head: the Yankee pitchers are afraid of the homerun at home, and are pitching around people to avoid them.

by Wraithpk on Jul 6, 2009 1:10 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

yup they said Pettitte is especially thinking that way.

to the point where he is changing his approach….but that came from Kay,so who knows

by ReggieARodJeter on Jul 7, 2009 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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