Thinking About 16-11

by jscape2000 on Jul 1, 2009 3:00 PM EDT in Analysis Comment 7 comments

More photos » by Kathy Willens - AP

I want the Yanks to play .600 ball against the bottom of the barrel, .500 against the contenders.

So far this season, I've asked the Yankees to go 47-31, which would put them atop the division (assume at least one of those extra wins would have come at the Red Sox expense. Instead they've gone 44-32 with a couple wash outs to make up.

The Yanks are not in bad position. They're 3 games up on Texas and Toronto for the wildcard, and if the season ended today they'd probably meet the Angels in the first round of the playoffs.

But I want that division crown, and July is a good month to make up some ground.

Team	Games	'08 W%
Seattle	2	.377
Tor	4	.531
Min	3	.540
LAA	3	.617
Det	3	.457
Bal	3	.422
Oak	4	.466
TB	3	.599
ChiS	2	.546

So, I clump the Twins, Angels, Rays and White Sox into 'contenders.' So 6-5 there.

In the other 16 games, I'll take 10-6.

The Tigers and White Sox have swapped places in their division, so call that a wash. But the Twins are a .500 team and look it, while the wheels have really fallen off the Athletics.

The Yanks have the room to make a move this month, with Phil Hughes looking dominant in the pen and the rotation starting to click. They'd better take it.

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Looks like Red Sox are still shell shocked

We could conceivably get to 1.5 behind if we win tonight.

by HappyLuckyGoldenDragonNumber1! on Jul 1, 2009 3:30 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

hold the phone dude..

youk just homered to make it 5-3.. no outs in the ninth…

by NumberSeven on Jul 1, 2009 3:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Good call, genius

5-5 in the 9th.

by New York Sports Jerk on Jul 1, 2009 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

george sherrill...

sh*ts the bed… sigh.

by NumberSeven on Jul 1, 2009 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

sox 6-5 in 11.

You know, watching the end of that game last night, I was hoping it would send the sox into some sort of tailspin… oh well, so much for that.

by NumberSeven on Jul 1, 2009 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

On topic...

16-11 is more than reasonable. 17-10 or 18-9 aren’t out of the question either- just a matter of playing sound baseball. Pitching, fielding… hitting with RISP. Seems pretty easy to me! ha..

Get it done boys!

by NumberSeven on Jul 1, 2009 4:15 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

On topic...

Yah l agree. Looking at that schedule i don’t see why they can’t win 18 or even 19 of the 27 games. They have been taking it to those that they should be beating, so we should win each and every one of those series. My gut feeling tells me though that the Angels will take 2 out of the 3, they just seem to have had our number over the last 5 to 10 years. Not to mention yo might have to throw in a token loss here and there for some bonehead decision by Girardi.

by syllk on Jul 1, 2009 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs