Thinking About 16-13

by jscape2000 on May 1, 2009 5:02 PM EDT in Analysis Comment 2 comments

Last month, as I looked over our April opponents, I suggested that the Yankees should start the season 15-8.

Instead, they went 12-10 with a rain out.

Let's take a look at May.

Opponent	Games Against	2008 W%
LAA	3	.617
Bos	2	.586
TB	2	.599
Bal	6	.422
Tor	3	.531
Min	4	.540
Phi	3	.568
Tex	3	.488
Cle	3	.500

The question mark for me is the Blue Jays. They played the Yanks 9-9 last season and they finished a game behind the Twins and would have been second in the West. Add in their hot start to 2009 and for this exercise, I'll call them "contenders."

Again, I'm asking for .600 ball against the below .500 teams, and a game over .500 against the contenders.

That means going 16-13.

May promises to be a very tough month for the Yanks- 17 games against contenders, 12 against non-contenders with only 2 off days. Thankfully, the Yanks get to play 18 games at home this month in two long home stands.

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Expectations set too low

With our current starting rotation, the team has the ability/potential to win every game that’s played. Obv that won’t happen but to realistically win (w/ A-Rod’s return) every 2 out of 3 games in May shouldn’t be a far stretch.

by BigSlim on May 1, 2009 5:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

i see improvement!

texiria is not hitting, sabathia is finding his control, bullpen has been realy bad or very good, wang has been bombed and no arod, that was april! and the yanks were 12-10. now i can see may as a month to improve. first order of buiness is to finish off the angels while there down! the yanks have to take both of those red sucks games! to send a message. i know its early with them, but the yanks were embarssed in boston! from there take series as our guys get more comfortable. how important is bruney right now? hope to get him back soon, arod will help texiera, hughes may be hard to get out of the rotation! a good thing!

by my favorite spliter on May 2, 2009 1:59 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs