Based on spring numbers so far (reported in the following table), as well as past performance and what we know about what Girardi and Cashman want in the bullpen, I think we should see the following seven men break camp with the Yanks:

Rivera, Marte, and Bruney are locks, and Coke is a near-lock to serve as what Girardi calls a "medium-long" man.  Veras performed ably last year and has been a strikeout machine this spring, so he's pretty likely to go north next month. 

The other two are somewhat surprising.  Conventional wisdom has Al Aceves, Dan Giese, and Brett Tomko competing for the long man spot, but Igawa has performed much better than any of them so far this spring, and dominated AAA lineups last season.  Plus, if he continues to pitch well against major-league lineups during the regular season, it would up his currently almost nonexistent trade value.  And he would be a third lefty in the pen on top of the two in the rotation.  Tomko would not likely accept an assignment to Scranton's rotation, so the team may look at his years of experience as a starter and his decent spring performance, second in effectiveness to Igawa's among the four candidates for long man, and give him a shot so they don't lose him.  But I would think they would place greater importance on getting some use out of Igawa's contract.  And they may want to give at least Aceves, who is more of a prospect than Igawa, who was signed to pitch in the majors, more time in AAA to get regular innings.

CW also has Edwar Ramirez taking what I have as Robertson's spot based on his solid performances in 2007 and 2008, but he's rehabbing from shoulder bursitis and has yet to pitch this spring.  Mark Melancon is the other contender for that spot, but I would give him more time in AAA to make sure his limited-sample spring and minor-league dominance is not a fluke, and then move him up if Robertson replicates his 5.34 ERA from 30.1 innings in the majors last season, or if any of the other relievers struggles, or if we find ourselves not needing a full long man.  I would rule out Jon Albaladejo and Steven Jackson, and while Anthony Claggett has looked great so far, he has only 6 IP at the AAA level over two seasons to Robertson's 35 and Melancon's 20 last season, and Jackson's 117.1 and Albaladejo's 31 over two seasons.

Here's a table with the spring stats for the other contenders for Robertson's and Igawa's spots:

What do you all think?