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Farm system recap: Tampa Yankees

What a year for Tampa. They won the Florida State League title over the Charlotte Stone Crabs (Rays) after finishing the regular season with a 77-56 record, and featured possibly baseball's best hitting prospect.

Jesus Montero led the FSL in OPS (.989), despite being one of the youngest players in the league (19). He dominated so much (.356/.406/.583) that he got promoted to Trenton after only 48 games. He's about as sure a hitting prospect a team can have, which brings us to his much-maligned defense. Catcher is the most important defensive position on the field, so there are two ways to look at Jesus: (1) because he plays a 'defense first' position, it makes any offense he gives that much more valuable (SS and CF are the same way), even if he plays sub-par defense; or (2) his defense is so bad that his offense does not make up for it. His catching stats at Tampa were discouraging, no way around it: 26 games, 56 SB, 8 CS (13%), 2 E, 3 PB. However... he improved markedly after his promotion to Double-A (which I'll cover in the Trenton segment).

On the flip-side is 20-year-old Austin Romine, a catcher who's defense has never been questioned (though he'll never hit like Jesus). Romine threw out 38 of 125 potential base-stealers (30%), with 10 errors and 11 passed balls in 80 games. Despite not hitting at a Monter-ian level, his offense is still very good for a catcher: .276/.322/.441. Romine would be the top catcher in most other systems.

Star-divide

Last year's third-round draft pick, David Adams, had a breakout half-season in Tampa after getting promoted from Charleston. The 22-year-old second-baseman somehow upped his slugging average 100 points, despite going to the FSL (traditionally a pitcher's league). In 65 games, he hit .280/.362/.498 (compared to .290/.385/.394 in Charleston).

There weren't any super-prospects on the pitching side. Brooklyn-native Dellin Betances has an ultra-high ceiling, but hasn't shown much after being drafted out of high school in 2006. Last season looked like the start of his ascension to the majors, but he regressed badly this year. He got hurt and only threw 44.1 innings; while his K-rate was still excellent (9/9), he gave up 48 hits and 27 walks (1.69 WHIP) to go along with a 5.48 ERA. Like Andrew Brackman, 2010 is big for him (and he's gigantic, 6'8", 245), but at least he's only 21 and doesn't have a major league contract.

The Yanks top draft pick last year (44th overall), southpaw Jeremy Bleich, had a fine campaign in Tampa: 79.1 ip, 3.40 ERA, 56 K, 22 BB, 1.27 WHIP. He's been compared to Andy Pettitte, but that's a stretch - what they have in common is handedness, average to above 'stuff,' and 'pitchability' (AKA, knowing how to pitch). The comparison doesn't hold much water considering the 22-year-old Bleich bombed in Double-A (65 ip, 6.65 ERA, 1.82 WHIP), while the 22-year-old Pettitte dominated Double-A (way back in 1994).

22-year-old Hector Noesi has quietly become one of our best pitching prospects. He was promoted to Tampa about 2/3 of the way through the year, and continued his excellent season. His decent 3.92 ERA belies his effectiveness: 41.1 ip, 40 K, 4 BB, .92 WHIP. His career stats could make him a top-10 Yankee prospect: 193 ip, 3.13 ERA, 195 K, 34 BB, 1.05 WHIP.

2010 guesstimates:

Montero's a tough call. He missed the last month of the Double-A season after breaking his hand, but he was playing well enough to make the jump before that. The injury really sucks - if not for it, he would definitely start next year in Triple-A. But the lost month is important, more for defense than offense. I'll say he starts the year in Trenton, but they'll look to promote him quickly.

Romine will also start in Trenton, splitting catching duties with Jesus, but he'll likely stay there all year. Same with David Adams.

Betances will have to stay in Tampa: he just hasn't done enough to warrant a promotion (and Tampa is the Yanks HQ, where they can monitor him closely). Noesi will start in Trenton, while Bleich will have another go-round there.

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Comments

Display:

I could potentially see myself writing an addendum to the Francisco Cervelli Facts

Facts about Jesus Montero…..brought to you by Francisco Cervelli

This sticker is dangerous and inconvenient, but I do love Fig Newtons.

by Lord Duggan on Dec 4, 2009 7:45 PM EST reply actions  

the Francisco Cervelli Facts

was one of my favorite fanposts ever on this place. You should do one for Jesus.

So, our future catching combination may be Jesus, and Cervelli (God). Can’t beat that!!!!

by nyyrocks29 on Dec 4, 2009 8:36 PM EST up reply actions  

As long as Jesus is still on the team

Everyone seems to think the Yanks are getting Halladay, and I’m getting a little worried now if that means giving up Montero. I’ve personally seen Montero play. The guy is an absolute BEAST!!!! I know he’s an awful catcher, but he’s 20 years old and there’s time to get it up to at least Posada level. But his hitting can be “A-Rod like”. You can’t trade that for a player you don’t need. They do not NEED Halladay. Do NOT empty the farm for him Cashman. PLEASE do not empty the farm for him!!!

by nyyrocks29 on Dec 4, 2009 8:39 PM EST reply actions  

I agree

the last thing I want to see is the Blue Jays starting to win because they rebuild around an MVP candidate that should be on our team. Keep Montero Cashman. You’d be dumb not to.

by nyyrocks29 on Dec 4, 2009 10:05 PM EST up reply actions  

The more I read...

The more I like Montero. I guess the buzz is overwhemling about Jesus so consider me on the bandwagon (not that anyone cares) and Cash would be stupid to trade him for Halladay… Jackson I would consider but not Montero..

by RuBiCaNT on Dec 5, 2009 12:40 PM EST reply actions  

I love that we have a plethora of catchers

But how will this work? We have 3 guys who seem poised to play in the big leagues in Cervelli, Montero, and Romine. With Posada on his way out, I’m guessing one of these young catchers will step in and another is his backup. But what happens to the 3rd player? Who is the odd man out? Do they trade him? Convert him into another position? Decisions, decisions, decisions…

Play today, win today, ‘das it.

by noonoo on Dec 5, 2009 5:15 PM EST reply actions  

The idea as of right now...

is Romine will be the full time catcher, and Montero will be DH and backup catcher. Of course, Romine could be used as part of a trade, meaning that Cervelli could be the full time catcher, or both of them could be traded, leaving Montero to be full time.

by Wraithpk on Dec 5, 2009 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

forgot to mention

Posada’s signed through 2011, so as long as he’s still somewhat durable, we won’t have to worry about a ‘glut’ of catchers until 2012.

by Travis G on Dec 7, 2009 12:09 AM EST up reply actions  

fair question

Cervelli looks to be next year’s BUC. The thing about Cervelli is that he’ll probably never hit enough to be an everyday player (blasphemy, i know!). When Jesus and Romine are ML-ready, Romine’s probably the primary C, with Jesus the BUC and DH. that’s a few years away (2011 at the earliest), so Cervelli/Romine may be traded by then.

by Travis G on Dec 7, 2009 12:02 AM EST up reply actions  

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