An OPS Comparison

by jscape2000 on Nov 3, 2009 9:00 AM EST in Analysis Comment 13 comments

	Postseason	World Series		Postseason	World Series
Rollins	.757	.680	Jeter	.963	.846
Victorino	.937	.495	Damon	.268	.911
Utley	1.122	1.651	Tex	.579	.577
Howard	.943	.501	Arod	1.304	.919
Werth	1.152	1.047	Matsui	1.002	1.822
Ibanez	.735	.750	Posada	.799	.708
Stairs	.320	.286	Swisher	.505	.833
Feliz	.592	.632	Cano	.585	.325
Ruiz	.977	.931	Cabrera	.626	.308

I'm looking at Postseason vs World Series stats to see if we can differentiate between a struggling postseason (Tex) and a great player held in check (Howard).

The Yankees have done very well at holding down the top of the Phillies lineup, while the Phillies have really smothered Cano and Cabrera.

Matsui hasn't gotten the fan fair of Johnny Damon in their mutual quest to return to the Yankees next season, but he's making as strong a case.

No more fastballs over the plate to Utley.

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Three words:

Small. Sample. Size.

http://www.fivetoolfans.com

by mykalmorgan on Nov 3, 2009 11:00 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

And as a non-Yankee fan, I think it would be great if Cashman fell prey to the stupidity of this kind of SSS reasoning with regard to the off-season, but he is not that dumb. Both Damon and Matsui should be gone, unless Damon would take a one year deal. Even then the smarter move is Holliday if the money is not a problem (which it never has been).

And I wonder if Michael Kay still thinks Robinson Cano is as good as Utley?

by Buzzy on Nov 3, 2009 11:26 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

I wouldn’t resign either Damon or Matsui.
I think Cash should bring in a free agent like Reed Johnson or try to bring back Nady or see what he can find on the trade market.

"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."

by jscape2000 on Nov 3, 2009 8:25 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Reed Johnson

Reed Johnson? What? Why? Damon >>> Reed Johnson.

by gfertel on Nov 3, 2009 11:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

As a Sox fan

I would be very happy with that! Nady is an average player at best when healthy. Reed Johnson has been a very good fielder in the past but there are indications his “glove” is on the decline. He can’t hit at all (career wOBA is a below average 0.327 which is awful for a corner outfielder). That is a lot of offense to give up on to replace it with either a marginal overall player (Nady) or a declining awful hitting corner outfielder in Johnson.

Why wouldn’t the Yankees play to their unique strength and sign Holliday? Some would say things like “he was inflated by Coors and sucked in the AL.” But these things are not true. He was a better hitter in the AL than Damon, depsite playing in the worst hitters park in the league, surrounded by crappy hitters, and in a good pitching division. If you remove his April from his splits, he was as good a hitter as Matui this year. And as for Coors, that was true early on but by his last year in Colorado, his road splits were excellent. He is a decent to plus glove, and is still only 29. By WAR he has been more valuable over the last 3 years than Mark Teixiera. The Yankees can have him if they want.

by Buzzy on Nov 4, 2009 9:19 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Feliz, Ruiz...

by Yankees23 on Nov 3, 2009 11:15 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

The stats that matter right now

Yankee OPS: .711 Philly OPS: .783

Their lineup is outperforming ours (Chase Utley has as many HR as our entire team!), but we’ve managed timely hits and smart baserunning that have secured two games for us (2 & 4).

Also:

Yankee WHIP: 1.29 Philly Whip: 1.22

Quite frankly, we’re lucky to be up 3-2 in this thing.

by PortlandYankee on Nov 3, 2009 11:51 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

those stats are meaningless

Philleis hit a lot of hrs, but don;t score as much runs, while the yanks score more runs on things other than hrs. We have had 3 hrs this whole series but have been outscoring them. Plus this is a small sample size

by lololol on Nov 3, 2009 11:59 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

What are you even talking about?

Yankee runs: 25
Philly runs: 24

Looks pretty even to me.

OPS: LDS/LCS/WS
Philly: .832/.848/.783
NY: .720/.835/.711

Philly’s lineup has been consistently better than ours the in terms of the offensive stat that is the best predictor of performance (OPS) for the entire post-season. We were better in the regular season, but for whatever reason we are cold right now.

by PortlandYankee on Nov 3, 2009 12:11 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

I wonder what their stats would be against pitching staffs that didn't suck?

Oh well would you look at that! Their OPS jumps down EVEN THOUGH they get to hit with a DH in 2 games so far.

The Phillies lineup is in no way better than the Yankee lineup. They feast on mediocrity in the NL Least and are too lefty heavy. And apparently only the Yankees have figured out that if his life was on the line, Ryan Howard still could not recognize or hit a breaking ball.

This sticker is dangerous and inconvenient, but I do love Fig Newtons.

by Lord Duggan on Nov 3, 2009 10:00 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Right, the Rockies' pitching staff is so much weaker than Minnesota

with the immortals Nick Blackburn and Carl Pavano in crucial games.

Over the regular season, the Yankees out-OPSed the Phillies. However, toward the end of the season and now in the playoffs the Phillies have overtaken us.

I would like to think that the Yankees have a “real” pitching staff, certainly moreso than the Phillies, yet the Phillies are out OPSing us (.780 is at their season average, while our .711 is about 120 points below the season average). One could argue that we’re the ones feasting off weak pitching, which has traditionally been the MO of the post-2000 Yankee teams (vulnerable in the playoffs to any pitcher that can throw a strike).

BOTH teams saw their OPS drop in Games 1 and 2, because both teams were facing real pitchers. Both teams saw their OPS rise in Games 3-5, when each team threw two average or mediocre pitchers (Andy and Blanton were just average; Hamels and AJ stunk). Not hard to figure out why the OPS went up.

by PortlandYankee on Nov 4, 2009 12:11 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs