Current Vegas Odds?
Anyone know the current Vegas odds for the World Series? I'm assuming they change daily and possibly hourly based on each game performance, any injuries, etc.
Also, when an odd is posted as +170 or -183 what does that translate to as far as ratio? (like 2:1).
I am so friggin' disgusted by that game last night and even moreso because there are way too many Phillies fans in my husbands family and they are stalking me with their trashtalking!!! Ugh! They better pull through tonight!
PS. Thanks for answering my Black Taco question, LOL!
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If a vegas line was posted as … (for example)
Yankees -183
Phillies +170
It means if you have to bet $183 on the Yankees to win $100, and if you bet $100 on the Phillies you win +170. The “juice” on this bet is 13 cents. Which means if Vegas can get half the money bet on each side they will make a nice little profit. Obviously, the larger the juice the easier it is for the casino to make money and the bettor to lose over the long haul.
As far as converting the -183/+170 to odds. The +170 is easy, that would be 1.7 to 1 odds. At a race track it might be listed as 7:4 or 5:3. The -183 on the otherhand would be around 0.55:1 (take inverse of 1.83).
Then if you wanted to convert -183/170 to a win probability percentage, you’d first split the juice which is 13/2=6.5 add that to 170 (1706.5=176.5) and then divide that number by itself plus 100 (176.5 / 276.5) = 63.83%
vr, Xei
by Xeifrank on Oct 29, 2009 10:44 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
As far as the current odds, I don’t know what Vegas has them listed as. I can calculate what they should be by plugging the win probabilities of each of the remaining games into a program that I have. The win probabilities would of course be estimates, but I think I can guess pretty accurately to what Vegas would list them as for the remaining games.
(w/o juice)
Before Game #1: NYA -159, PHI +159, NYA 61.34%
After Game #1: PHI -135, NYA +135, PHI 57.47%
Let’s look one game into the future now…
Yankees Win Game #2: NYA -118, PHI +118, NYA 54.09%
Phillies Win Game #2: PHI -365, NYA +365, PHI 78.51%
In other words, the Yankees better win tonight! :)
vr, Xei
by Xeifrank on Oct 29, 2009 11:01 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
They had better win tonight
although there is precident for losing 2 at home and sweeping on the road to win in 6.
If I's known I was going to live so long, I'd have taken better care of myself. Casey
by Cbeck3 on Oct 29, 2009 11:13 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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