Yankee Numbers Don’t Add Up
by SportsLifer
on Jul 19, 2008 7:35 PM EDT
Entering the second half of the season, the numbers don’t add up for the New York Yankees. At the All-Star break, the Yankees were mired in third place, trailing both the Red Sox and the Devil Rays in the AL East..
And it doesn’t get any easier. Consider these numbers:
67: Games remaining for Yankees after All-Star break (considerably less than half)
43: Of the Yankees remaining 67 games are against teams currently above .500
7: Of the Yankees next 8 series are against teams currently above .500
10: Games remaining against traditional nemesis Angels
7: Yankees on opening day roster currently on the disabled list.
0: Number of wins by Phil Hughes and Ian Kennedy (and Carl Pavano too 
.713: Yankees OPS (on-base percentage plus slugging percentage) with RISP (runners in scoring position)
26: Yankee rank in the above category out of 30 teams
.238: Alex Rodriguez batting average with runners-in-scoring-position
32: Of the Yankees final 51 games are away from Yankee Stadium
4.59: Runs per game Yankees are averaging in 2008
5.98: Runs per game Yankees averaged in 2007
1993: Last year the Yankees failed to make the playoffs
Get a life. Read the SportsLifer
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The problem with your numbers
is that you’re looking at the wrong stats.
Here are the only numbers that matter (if they hold true, you will see why):
GB: 5.5
Tampa Bay Road Games Remaining: 37
Tampa Bay Road Win Pct: .431
Project Added wins: 16
Boston Road Games Remaining: 29
Boston Road Win Pct: .404
Project Added Wins: 12
NY Road Games Remaining: 35
NY Road Win Pct: .500
Project Added Wins: 17-18 (you can decide where to put the .5)
Either way, that’s a +6 over Boston and a +2 over Tampa which means, this race is between NY and Tampa and the differential is 3.5 games at home (assuming road play consistency factors)
This division must be won on the Road this year. Whichever of the three teams can play .600 baseball on the road, will win in September.
And here’s a stat for NY you didn’t bother to post:
Record when leading after 6 innings: 41-1
That would be an AL Best, by the way.
Furthermore, their duct-taped, gimme a hanger, jerry-rigged, life-support, who’s breathing today Pitching staff is currently posting a 4.08 ERA, which is 7th in the AL.
A 4.08 Team ERA vs Avg RPG of 4.59, looks to me like they are (on average) scoring more than they are giving up.
How about Run Differential (which was ugly in May). Now, it’s +31
Hitting is infectious. So is winning. They’ve had two consecutive wins now against a +.500 team…so what does your stat above mean? (Nothing, that’s what).
This race isn’t over yet. Mountain to climb? Yes. But it ain’t Mount Nitaka.
And comparing numbers to last year is nothing more than an exercise in mental masturbation.
You don’t win this year’s World Series with last year’s numbers…at least, not the last time I checked you don’t.
by detroit yankee on Jul 20, 2008 12:29 AM EDT 1 recs
Amen
"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."
by jscape2000 on
Jul 20, 2008 12:44 AM EDT
up
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Seems to me that those numbers say that the
Yankees need to play better than the teams in front of them in order to make the playoffs. To that I say, “Duh.”
Everything looks nicer when you win. The girls are prettier. The cigars taste better. The trees are greener. --Billy Martin
by garp on Jul 20, 2008 2:36 AM EDT 0 recs
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