Who should the Yank give up for Miguel Cabrera?
Brian Cashman met with the Marlins at about 6 p.m. last night at the GM meetings. No offers were made, but a source with knowledge of the situation said the Marlins made it clear that the Yankees would have to include either Phil Hughes, Joba Chamberlain or Ian Kennedy in any trade for Cabrera, something the Yankees are not willing to do.
The Yankees would likely offer a deal involving their next tier of prospects, which includes Alan Horne, Humberto Sanchez, Ross Ohlendorf and Jose Tabata. The Marlins have evidently let it be known that he's available, so we're looking into it," Hank Steinbrenner said. "But everything is really very preliminary."
Cabrera can flat out hit and at 24, he's a budding superstar. That being said, who should the Yanks part with to get him? Joba, Hughes and IPK are pretty much untouchable. I'd consider trading Hughes or Kennedy for a Johan Santana/#1 starting pitcher but that's it. However, you do have to give up something very good to get this kind of young hitter unless it's a complete salary dump. I saw Tabata play in Spring training and he's going to be a stud. He's not even 20 (08/12/1988) yet and his line at Tampa this past year was:
.307, 5 HR's,54 RBI's, 16 2B's, 15 SB's, and a .763 OPS.
His power numbers were down, but he's got good power and a strong throwing arm. The Yanks second tier of prospects are very good also so we'll see. I have seen in recent years that the rest of the GM's want much more from the Yanks for their players. Arizona wanted four top players including Soriano back in '03 for Schilling and when the Yanks said no to Soriano, they traded him to Boston for Casey (who?) Fossum and a couple of other no name prospects. They never came back to the Yanks to hear another offer. It was quite surprising...Expect more of the same treatment.
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61 comments
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My Proposal
Alan Horne, Humberto Sanchez, Ross Ohlendorf, Eric Duncan, Tyler Clippard, Jeff Karstens, Matt DeSalvo, Chase Wright
I would not trade IPK, Joba, Hughes, Tabata, Betances, Brackman
However, the Marlins would want at least one from so called untouchables group especially IPK, Hughes or Joba. In this case, we would need to give up IPK although I really like his understanding of pitching.
Let's hope that we get Cabrera. And also hope that the Twins do not trade Santana and do well next season so that they cannot trade him during the season.
by yankeesintexas on Nov 7, 2007 3:00 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Ive said this in one of the other threads
I can get behind the idea of turning over a new leaf: The yankees arent going to get jerked around by free agents anymore, we are developing our own talent and the Arods of the world can get their money elsewhere. However, trading away that young talent for Cabrera does not make sense under that approach.
Call up charlie hayes and lets see if all these "true" yankee fans are right with their "we won without him" argument.
by seanp23 on Nov 7, 2007 3:18 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Punishing the Bombers....
No team would do that if the Yanks were involved.
Every single call at the trade deadline started with "Hey toss in that Hughes kid and we can talk about XYZ player..."
Seriously? Hughes for Gagne?
No team is going to willingly help the Yanks. They'd rather give players to Boston.
Screw 'em. I'd rather go with the farm hands than pay rape pricing for trade bait. The perception that the Yankees would do something stupid for a short term gain needs to change. Forget Miggy and stick with Betemit.
by ThePocketgeek on Nov 7, 2007 3:36 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Yanks
by stillmonster on Nov 7, 2007 3:51 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Uh,
by marcbouch9 on Nov 8, 2007 9:10 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
by pfistyunc on Nov 8, 2007 9:38 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
IPK's untouchable status is absurd
by pfistyunc on Nov 7, 2007 3:53 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I agree with
by beantownbosoxh8er on Nov 7, 2007 4:16 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The bottom line
by pfistyunc on Nov 7, 2007 4:20 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The problem is
The Marlins' demands would probably have to include Joba or Hughes. If that's the case, I say the Yanks should pass on Cabrera.
Here's what Kepner says today:
"Executives from other teams say the Marlins would demand a center fielder and one or two premier young pitchers in return for Cabrera. In the Yankees' case, that would mean Melky Cabrera and Phil Hughes or Joba Chamberlain, perhaps with Ian Kennedy thrown in.
No way will Cashman make a move for Cabrera if he has to give up Hughes or Joba.
by anaconda on Nov 7, 2007 4:52 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Of course
by pfistyunc on Nov 7, 2007 7:25 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
IPK
by stillmonster on Nov 7, 2007 7:58 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
His weight is definitely an issue
He does need to slim down. His health may be affected down the road if he doesn't.
It's a legitimate issue if some team is going to mortgage the farm for a player of his caliber.
by anaconda on Nov 7, 2007 8:21 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
IPK Untouchable are you kidding
by imyrick on Nov 7, 2007 9:48 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
actually,...
general managers around the league know who joba and phil are but IPK only made three starts last year. talking about him in the same breath as those two elevates his status and makes him more valuable in the market. would you rather cashman talk about IPK the same way that we do?--what team is going to want that?
by tombradylikesdudes on Nov 7, 2007 11:26 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You're not giving enough credit
by Willton on Nov 8, 2007 12:52 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You forgot Bill Bavasi
by pfistyunc on Nov 8, 2007 7:02 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I tend to agree with you
by marcbouch9 on Nov 8, 2007 8:50 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It's better to give up a hot prospect
by John Amato on Nov 7, 2007 5:00 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Take a pass ...
We need to continue to develop our pitching talent. As we have already seen, and painfully I might add, pitching wins pennants and WS titles. Since we've gotten away from the "no superstars" formula we haven't hung any championship banners.
Find a Scott Brosius type, bolster middle relief, sign Posada and Mo and roll the freakin' dice on the holy trinity (and hopefully Pettitte). Leave Mr. Pudgy alone.
by Ronster22 on Nov 7, 2007 5:46 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
He may have won rings while he was here
by pfistyunc on Nov 7, 2007 7:26 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
BRING BACK CHARLIE HAYES!
by stillmonster on Nov 7, 2007 7:59 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Didn't suck
My point is we don't need an a-tier player--especially if it costs us part of the trinity. We'e won championships with b-tier players, and can do it again.
We don't need to mortgage the future.
by Ronster22 on Nov 8, 2007 10:46 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Giving up Melky and IPK
by pfistyunc on Nov 8, 2007 11:07 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It is was just those two
But it would likely be those two plus Hughes or Joba, and I would hesitate before doing that.
Trading pitchers for a hitter never seems to work out great for the team getting the hitter.
by matthaggs on Nov 8, 2007 11:23 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Of course
by pfistyunc on Nov 8, 2007 11:29 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
IPK
Hughes has a great arm, but his ball seems flatter to me and more hittable. However, one can't dismiss is stats which are sick. Still, I'd take a guy with pitching intellect, hellacious movement and a 91mph fastball over a guy with a 94mph straight fb and good hook anyday.
I also don't believe Florida or Tampa or anyone else with talent to spare is going to do the Yankees a favor by letting a Cabrera, or Kazmir go for a .275 punch hitter, and an unproven prospect. As their organizational histories have shown, neither of these organizations are MENSA certified, but I don't believe even these bastions of fiscal futility would part with senor chubby for what you suggest.
by Ronster22 on Nov 8, 2007 12:23 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Not saying they would
by pfistyunc on Nov 8, 2007 1:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
My point ...
Who knows we might be able to pry Tejada, or Marte from Cleveland for mid-level prospects?
by Ronster22 on Nov 8, 2007 1:49 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Hughes
by marcbouch9 on Nov 8, 2007 8:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Thank you
by marcbouch9 on Nov 8, 2007 8:16 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I think I agree with Mr. Amato
Melky is a nice player, but not a special one. In the medium term we can replace him.
For a stud like Cabrera we can go IPK and Melky. I do not have a Melky replacement plan, But I feel we just need a placeholder so we can wait for The minor leaguers to grow up (Tabatha, Gardner, Jackson, etc.) If however there is a third body in this trade it had better be someone with little or no chance of making the big club this spring or next.
No, on a 3 year or 5 year balance I think I'd swap, contingent on being able to extend Miggy.
by Cbeck3 on Nov 7, 2007 7:03 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Long term
But until I hear who the secondary names are I'm not sold.
To me, dealing IPK means we're not trying to contend this season ('08). Kennedy is the only one of the Trinity I'm counting on for 34 starts and 180IP. We don't really know how deep into the season Phil Franchise can go, and Joba we know far exceed 130.
Is Cashman prepared to half-ass the final season in Yankee Stadium, the final year of his contract, and the first year with his handpicked manager at the helm? The year after the Red Sox won the World Series?
I wouldn't be.
So I'm not going to bite unless the Marlins will accept a package of Melky, Horne (2007 EL PItcher of the Year), and somebody else.
by jscape2000 on Nov 7, 2007 11:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I sure hope..
by AKJoe on Nov 8, 2007 12:29 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I sure hope..
by AKJoe on Nov 8, 2007 12:29 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The best articles I've read
So for every run above average IPK prevents, Miggy Cabrera would need to provide 3 runs to be of equal value.
by jscape2000 on Nov 8, 2007 12:35 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The other Miguel
When you factor in who the Yanks would have to give up to get Tejada, and who the Yanks who would have to give up to get Cabrera, the Yankees would have a better overall team for the next two years with Tejada I think.
The NY Times says Tejada is very available, and he has already agreed to play 3rd if he can get the hell out of Baltimore. And to top it off, the Times said the O's might be interested in Farnsworth!
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/08/sports/baseball/08yanks.html?ref=sports
by matthaggs on Nov 7, 2007 9:37 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
If theYanks get Tejada,
by Willton on Nov 8, 2007 1:01 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
That makes sense
If he didn't do it for Arod, he's not going to do it for anybody.
by matthaggs on Nov 8, 2007 9:25 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
the point being that you can't hold onto a
by John Amato on Nov 8, 2007 3:43 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Now
by John Amato on Nov 8, 2007 3:46 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
The asking price
that would Take the Yankees biggest rival out of the picture and they don't need to give up the farm for Cabrera. the fish wont have another attractive dance partner.
by beantownbosoxh8er on Nov 8, 2007 7:55 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
The Dodgers already have a better package
by pfistyunc on Nov 8, 2007 8:20 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
if Boston drops out
The Fish want the sox and Yanks to go head to head on the bidding, without one or the other ,they have less leverage.
I would rather see Cabrera in LA over boston. Boston would have some serious firepower if they landed him.
by beantownbosoxh8er on Nov 8, 2007 8:33 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
LA's package
by pfistyunc on Nov 8, 2007 8:39 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I feel that
by beantownbosoxh8er on Nov 8, 2007 8:45 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
conversly I don't feel
by beantownbosoxh8er on Nov 8, 2007 8:49 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Marlins Trade
by BobbyNYC on Nov 8, 2007 10:37 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Yikes
by pfistyunc on Nov 8, 2007 10:39 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Agree
Hank is quoted in this morning's NYTimes as saying the trinity is untouchable for Cabrera or any other non-pitching entity. He demurred nicely on the idea of one of them being available for a superstar pitcher. So they've obviously chatted about possibilities like Santana.
I would trade IPK plus Melky plus one or two other prospects for Cabrera but it seems like the Yankees won't give up pitching for hitting.
Instead of Hank's "transitional" speech, he now seems to be saying that only solid pitching will get them past the ALDS (DUH) and they are not giving up pitching for hitting. Pitching for pitching might be another story.
by bxgrl1 on Nov 8, 2007 10:51 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
the idea is...
by BobbyNYC on Nov 8, 2007 2:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
wait a second...
"I would trade IPK plus Melky plus one or two other prospects for Cabrera but it seems like the Yankees won't give up pitching for hitting."
Am I wrong? How is that not the same thing? You want IPK, Melky and prospects for Cabrera.. and I'm saying IPK, Melky and prospects for Cabrera and D. Willis. No? Where are we disagreeing?
by BobbyNYC on Nov 8, 2007 3:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You conveniently forgot to mention
by pfistyunc on Nov 8, 2007 3:14 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
also
by bxgrl1 on Nov 8, 2007 9:44 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
tabata and humberto..
by BobbyNYC on Nov 9, 2007 9:31 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Conversely
by pfistyunc on Nov 9, 2007 9:49 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Whitney here: "Crack is whack!"
Stay away. Stay far, far away.
A better play would be to go after Kazmir just in case Pettitte pulls the plug.
by Ronster22 on Nov 8, 2007 10:52 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
a couple of years ago
Now that he's declining, there's no viable reason to have him in NY.
by bxgrl1 on Nov 8, 2007 10:54 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
jscape...explain pls...
by mickey07 on Nov 8, 2007 11:14 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Research
Basically, in any half of the ball game (tops or bottoms of innings) it averages out that .75 RA + .25 RS= result.
When I have more time tonight, I'll run through some examples.
by jscape2000 on Nov 8, 2007 3:27 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

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