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Around SBN: Champions League Preview with Jimmy Conrad

Two for One: AFL Games 4 & 5

Let's start at the start.
Friday's game against the Saguaros went well for the Javelinas and for the Yankee prospects who played.

Brett Gardner went 1-3 with a triple, 2 BB, and 1K.  He saw 22 pitches in 5 PA.
Reegie Corona also went 1-3, but he did it with a double, 1 BB, and 1K.  He saw 18 pitches in his 4 PA.

None of the Yankee pitchers played, but Ross Ohlendorf is off the AFL roster.  Hopefully this means that Ohlendorf was told to get ready for Spring Training, and the Yanks just wanted to use the AFL to get a look at a more marginal guy.

Eric Wordekemper will take his place.

Wordekemper is a 24 year old right hander.  He was drafted by the Yankees back in 2005 (46th round).  He recently snared the Florida State League's Most Valuable Pitcher award.

Wordekemper pitched tonight, and it didn't go well.

He gave up 5 hits (a double and four singles) and turned an 8-2 laugher into a tense ballgame, 8-5 with one out and men on first and second.  After a coaching visit he got the final two outs.  He faced eight batters and threw only 21 pitches.  He threw 15 strikes in his inning of work, so I'm hopeful that it was just nerves.

Brett Gardner started in left field but moved to center when Jordan Schafer got hurt. JP Surget reports that the Braves' centerfield prospect gave himself a nasty looking concussion running into the wall on a long fly.

Gardner went 2-5, while his teammate Juan Miranda went 1-4.

So what do we do with this information?

The league only runs for a month, so there are small-sample size issues.  The high elavation makes it a hitters league, and the range of polish on the prospects makes it tougher still to evaluate individual performance.

The main thing I'm looking for is how the player is used.  Trenton manager Tony Franklin is managing the Javelinas, and he has a representative from each partnered club on his coaching staff.  So you can rest assured that each club is directing and monitoring how their players are used.

This is a chance for an organization to see how there players handle a big step up in competition.  I'm surprised Ross Ohlendorf was removed from the roster because this was a chance for him to practice warming up and pitching as a reliever.

Playing Gardner in left and center suggests that the Yanks are preping him to start the season as 4th outfielder or be prepared to come up when someone goes down with an injury.

I'm watching the use of the pitchers more closely than the hitters.  One reason is that the pitchers present are closer to big-league ready than the hitters.  This makes I'd give Whelan, White, and Jackson (in that order) outside shots at making the pen out of Spring Training.  Another is that the pitchers are more likely to get to play for the Yankees- Brett Gardner could turn into an Endy Chavez kind of player, but do you really think he's going to get enough ABs to do it in New York?

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I need your help
One of our boys needs our help - he's the only Yankees fan running for People magazine's 'Sexiest Fan Alive' and he's trailing.

Even worse, there's a Red Sox guy ahead of him. We cannot allow this to happen.

Go to www.peoplesexiestfan.com and vote 5 times (that's the max per day). Bookmark the site and vote every day (we only have 12 days left). Tell all your friends about it. Join the Facebook group (it's called 'Vote Jeff Jackson for People Magazine's Sexiest Fan').

Let's make him Number 1 and show them Yankees fans can't be beat!

Jamie B

by jamieb81 on Oct 14, 2007 1:03 PM EDT reply actions  

nothing
 says Arizona fall league like "people's sexiest fan" voting.

  Put that in a seperate post. Please.

 As for Gardner I hope he at the very least gets a look in spring training. He is fast as lightning!

  Any word on the TJ crew (cox,melancon,&sanchez)being ready for ST?

by beantownbosoxh8er on Oct 15, 2007 8:52 AM EDT reply actions  

I doubt
if any of them will be ready to break camp with the Yankees
The recovery time for TJ is 12-18 months.  These are all good young prospects, so expect the Yankees to be extra careful with all of them.

Melancon was supposed to pitch in the Hawaii League (where he got hurt last year).  The Yanks decided against it at the last minute.  I imagine this pushes his rehab back a month or two, but he would be the first back.  He hasn't pitched higher than the NY-Penn League, so he'll have to move up through the minors.

I think Sanchez has his surgery in April.  So he's a longer way off than the others.  He should be at top form by mid-season.  I'm hoping to see him pull a Joba because this is the guy you want to put in the back of your pen.  He's got a similiar plus fastball, but fewer quality breaking pitches.  He's already pitched in AAA, so he should move quickly.
http://weblogs.newsday.com/sports/baseball/yankees/blog/2007/04/sanchez_tommy_john.html

 Cox didn't have TJ, but he had a different elbow ligament sugery.  He should be on the same time table as Sanchez, but with the caveat that his highest level pre-surgery was AA.

Everybody forgets Christian Garcia.  He had surgery last winter.  He was alright in his few rehab starts before the minor league season ended (41.2H 12BB in 53IP).  He'll have to climb his way back up through the organization, but he's the yougest of the prospects (21).

"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."

by jscape2000 on Oct 15, 2007 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Any word ..
on Tabata? Couldn't he be about ready to slide into a number 4 slot in the of? I'm also wondering who if anyone can legitimately fill these roles: third base, first base, left handed long relief, and catcher.

What's in the pipeline?

"Baseball is the background music of my life." -George Will

by Ronster22 on Oct 15, 2007 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

The rundown
The short answer is no.

First, let me address Tabata.  He just turned 19 in August.  He was one of the youngest (if not the youngest) player in the high-A Florida State League where he went .307/.371/.392.  
There are concerns about his power, but he's so young it's hard be sure which way to project him.  I don't know if he'll start next season back in A ball, or if they'll promote him to AA.  I'd list him as an outlier for a September call-up in 2009 because they're going to make him prove himself at every level.
Since he's so young being extra cautious does no harm- conversely, rushing him could ruin him.

Firstbase-
I expect Shelley Duncan to be the backup/platoon guy here.  Miranda will get a long look in Spring Training as Shelley's lefthanded equivalent.  There isn't a long term solution in the system right now.  The other options include Sean Casey, Tony Clark, and Matt Stairs.

I think Jeter or Arod will be playing firstbase by 2012.

Thirdbase-
Arod.
If he leaves, I predict the Yanks will trade for a 3B.  The in-house options include Alberto Gonzalez and Wilson Betimet.
Free agents include Mike Lowell, Aaron Boone, and Pedro Feliz.

Catcher-
Long term Jesus Montero:


[This year's prize international signing was] a 16-year-old catcher with a 6-foot-3, 230-pound frame some have termed as mature. Also, the Yankees have little catching depth in the farm system, a problem ever since they traded Dioner Navarro, now with the Devil Rays, to the Diamondbacks in the Randy Johnson deal in January 2005.

Francisco Cervelli seems to be a prospect, but like Tabato he's only played up to high-A, although he was added to the AAA postseason as the emergency catcher.
For next year, it's Posada or nothing (LoDuca, Barrett, or Ausmus).
This is the position where I think a trade needs to happen if not this offseason then next.

Lefthander-
Sean Henn, Ron Villone, Chase Wright, Kei Igawa.  Wright turns 25 this February and he pitched well at AAA after his disasterous spot start (he had only pitched in AA to that point).  With Scranton, Wright went 8-5, 15 games, 15 GS, 85.1IP, 79H.  He had trouble with his control (42BB).
The great weakness of our pitching depth at this point is the lack of a lefty.

"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."

by jscape2000 on Oct 15, 2007 3:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

well done ...
I'd heard of Montero, but thought he was older (actually he probably is considering his an international sign. I'm guessing 24). I agree we need to really upgrade the lefty side of the bullpen
"Baseball is the background music of my life." -George Will

by Ronster22 on Oct 15, 2007 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

24 would be hard to fake
You only need to shave 2 or 3 years off to garner a lot more hype.  That's about what Soriano did.

I'd guess he's 19, which is still young enough to deserve our attention.

"Have faith in the Yankees, my son. Think of the great DiMaggio."

by jscape2000 on Oct 15, 2007 6:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Even so ...
If he's 19, and 5 years away, that's good enough for me.
"Baseball is the background music of my life." -George Will

by Ronster22 on Oct 16, 2007 9:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

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